goask
0x1cea7192af5d7b1826083a19c5be75115a2df32a
- Realised P&L
- $-4.3k
- Volume
- $408.3k
- Markets traded
- 634
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded634
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.167Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?
- +$754.69at 0.050Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in November?
- +$719.89at 0.044Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?
- +$666.25at 0.166Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on January 31?
- +$633.42at 0.092Han Duck-soo in jail by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 20:50 | Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.80 |
| 07-13 13:38 | Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.64 |
| 07-13 07:53 | Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.45 |
| 07-13 07:49 | Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.39 |
| 07-12 04:32 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.209999998 | $79.00 |
| 07-12 04:24 | Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.038217437 | $23.50 |
| 07-10 16:06 | Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.70 |
| 07-10 13:16 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.058 | $7.91 |
| 07-02 13:21 | Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.20 |
| 07-02 13:12 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.026 | $1.18 |
| 06-30 09:50 | Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 06-30 09:50 | Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.003 | $2.25 |
| 06-30 03:35 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0219999927 | $3.00 |
| 06-26 16:37 | Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | BUY | 0.1179998997 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 00:32 | Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%? | BUY | 0.0437453608 | $1.00 |