m69568u4251
0xfd51c2bc6432862a8ce4a36346455947c4add282
- Realised P&L
- $-819.81
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $7.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.010 | $7.67 | +$3.07 |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on February 6? · Down | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$827.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.57at 0.992Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
- +$0.26at 0.992Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29?
- +$0.26at 0.992Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 23?
- +$0.26at 0.982Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 23?
- +$0.17at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 06:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.60 |
| 07-29 06:34 | Will XRP reach $1.20 on July 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.60 |
| 07-24 07:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on July 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.50 |
| 07-24 07:15 | Will XRP reach $1.35 on July 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.60 |
| 07-23 07:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 23? | BUY | 0.981 | $14.20 |
| 07-23 07:03 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 23? | BUY | 0.9989999891 | $33.60 |
| 07-17 07:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 17? | BUY | 0.996 | $13.80 |
| 07-17 07:15 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $33.80 |
| 07-13 08:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 13? | BUY | 0.993 | $12.50 |
| 07-13 08:13 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.90 |
| 07-10 07:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on July 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.60 |
| 07-10 07:56 | Will XRP reach $1.30 on July 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.90 |
| 07-09 08:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on July 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.60 |
| 07-09 07:58 | Will XRP dip to $0.95 on July 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.40 |
| 07-07 08:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.40 |