plmr
0x5c53fd4b3415a60f696c7f4d321c4313c2f28c30
- Realised P&L
- $-454.98
- Volume
- $911.2k
- Markets traded
- 885
- Open portfolio
- $477.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded885
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$470.00at 0.001Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
- +$196.08at 0.056Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 21?
- +$128.01at 0.017Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$120.17at 0.096Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on March 21?
- +$100.08at 0.359Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on March 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 08:22 | Will Jensen Huang be 2nd richest person on December 31? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.48 |
| 07-05 08:27 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 06:47 | Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 06:46 | Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.90 |
| 07-04 06:46 | Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.54 |
| 07-04 06:46 | Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.50 |
| 07-04 06:46 | Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.40 |
| 07-04 06:43 | Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 06:43 | Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 07-04 06:43 | Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.12 |
| 07-04 06:42 | Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.25 |
| 07-04 06:42 | Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.30 |
| 07-04 06:42 | Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.70 |
| 07-04 06:39 | Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.021 | $2.73 |
| 07-01 07:38 | Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.006 | $1.29 |