PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-08-31
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.10. down 0.21 over the period, from 0.32. Range 0.10 to 0.51. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.11145145
0.1220165
0.1328193
0.2115208
0.2214222
0.2556278
0.2719297
0.80250547
0.8130577
0.8395672
0.855001,172
0.861,2512,423

Spread0.01Mid0.11

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.10800800
0.097271,527
0.082141,741
0.075002,241
0.041382,378
0.032002,578
0.021652,743
0.012552,998

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.90800800
0.917271,527
0.922141,741
0.935002,241
0.961382,378
0.972002,578
0.981652,743
0.992552,998

Spread0.01Mid0.90

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.89145145
0.8820165
0.8728193
0.7915208
0.7814222
0.7556278
0.7319297
0.20250547
0.1930577
0.1795672
0.155001,172
0.141,2512,423

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
1in1000Yes157.81
FihdrzgddYes50
billygodYes46
tradetosurvive1Yes31
LornaPredictsYes28.39
AJSVYes26.57
GuyFromTinderYes25
pootytherewardfarmerYes23.9
J25525Yes20
bechamelYes20
predictdogepepewifYes20
offuyYes19
jean02hbtYes12.6
0x45e6Df48cCF5d1773D509C97052F819690cEC078-1782111207998Yes4.9
0xTengriNo250
0xa5ef…2966No227.09
daniel122134No6.05
0xd8fa…581fNo2.01

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:58:38BUYYes0.129999985554$6.98
14:58:08BUYNo0.88136$119.68
14:46:51SELLYes0.1377$10.01
14:37:21SELLYes0.1320$2.60
14:30:32SELLYes0.1445$6.30
13:55:08BUYYes0.1346739597396$53.31
12:51:09SELLYes0.1220$2.40
20:38:00BUYNo0.86250$215.00
13:27:36SELLYes0.1416$2.21
14:20:23SELLYes0.1520$3.00
14:14:15SELLYes0.1520$3.00
20:40:24SELLNo0.8127$22.15
19:55:30SELLYes0.1840$7.20
19:55:27SELLYes0.1920$3.80
19:55:27SELLYes0.1920$3.80
19:55:23SELLYes0.1944$8.36
15:43:11SELLYes0.1965$12.35
13:09:23SELLYes0.1920$3.80
12:24:20BUYNo0.80999999012$1.63
12:24:20SELLYes0.1920$3.80
12:24:17BUYNo0.8110$8.10
12:24:17BUYNo0.8120$16.20
12:24:17BUYNo0.8128$22.52
09:54:06SELLYes0.195$0.95
09:53:59BUYNo0.85$4.00