jean02hbt
0x8b01efa175ae63a7d46ed4713f001c141e2afb11
- Realised P&L
- $-205.31
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $13.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.60at 0.160Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
- +$10.91at 0.330Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?
- +$9.08at 0.360Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?
- +$8.80at 0.280Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
- +$5.81at 0.420Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 01:23 | Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.17501002 | $3.49 |
| 08-24 01:05 | Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $14.19 |
| 08-24 00:30 | Will Brett Smiley be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence? | SELL | 0.36 | $7.19 |
| 08-23 23:13 | Will Sílvia Cristina win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election? | SELL | 0.27 | $5.39 |
| 08-23 21:53 | Will Mbah Peter Ndubuisi win the 2027 Enugu State gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.13 | $5.19 |
| 08-23 21:43 | Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $8.39 |
| 08-23 00:48 | Will Moonshot be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $6.39 |
| 08-23 00:48 | Will Delegado Éder Mauro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election? | SELL | 0.56 | $8.39 |
| 08-23 00:48 | Will Delegado Éder Mauro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election? | SELL | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 08-23 00:39 | Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.43 | $8.59 |
| 08-23 00:28 | Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane? | SELL | 0.4 | $7.99 |
| 08-23 00:22 | Will Princess Faku be the next mayor of Buffalo City? | SELL | 0.45 | $8.99 |
| 08-22 22:06 | Will Delegado Éder Mauro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election? | SELL | 0.51 | $10.19 |
| 08-22 22:05 | Will Valmir de Francisquinho win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.72 | $4.31 |
| 08-22 22:04 | Will Ahmed Galadima win the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.47 | $9.39 |