offuy
0x257b50eaf90694b18aa2d63fc6f271286c7dd288
- Realised P&L
- $-351.29
- Volume
- $14.9k
- Markets traded
- 290
- Open portfolio
- $16.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded290
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by December 31? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.475 | $9.50 | −$3.90 |
| Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.105 | $2.10 | −$3.70 |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.105 | $2.00 | −$5.22 |
| Will Donavan McKinney win the MI-13 Democratic primary by 12–16%? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.098 | $1.95 | −$5.45 |
| Will "DTF St. Louis" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.051 | $1.01 | −$3.19 |
| Will London have between 40-50mm of precipitation in July? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.004 | $0.14 | −$17.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.20at 0.300Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?
- +$0.20at 0.710Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
- +$0.20at 0.180Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.20at 0.520Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?
- +$0.20at 0.190Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 01:33 | Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? | SELL | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 08-02 08:29 | Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $7.60 |
| 08-02 07:49 | Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 08-02 06:45 | Will The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)? | SELL | 0.903 | $18.06 |
| 08-02 06:23 | Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? | SELL | 0.72 | $14.40 |
| 08-02 03:16 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more? | SELL | 0.82 | $2.46 |
| 08-01 10:12 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $5.04 |
| 08-01 09:32 | Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? | SELL | 0.91 | $15.93 |
| 08-01 08:08 | Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $0.45 |
| 08-01 05:25 | Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%? | SELL | 0.246192 | $4.92 |
| 08-01 03:37 | Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4475 | $8.95 |
| 08-01 02:47 | Will "Beef" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.72 | $14.40 |
| 07-28 11:51 | Will Leavitt say "World Cup" during the next White House Press Briefing? | SELL | 0.77 | $0.77 |
| 07-28 05:43 | Will Otto Lopez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season? | SELL | 0.349 | $6.98 |
| 07-28 04:42 | Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 30,000-40,000? | SELL | 0.6 | $12.00 |