PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xiaoyua

0xbde327e6873f018f46f2884e95fc98006be02d97

Realised P&L
$339.23
Volume
$60.7k
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$890.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.8300.875$520.12+$26.75
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9150.827$370.09$39.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 11:43Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.83$493.37
09-13 11:42Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.827$98.77
09-13 11:41Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.996$551.70
07-26 00:38Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.981$164.81
07-15 02:56Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.9868176059$163.56
07-15 02:55Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.961$576.60
07-01 01:27Trump out as President by July 31?BUY0.9888113728$734.69
07-01 01:26Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?SELL0.999$735.26
06-13 11:33Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?BUY0.99$728.64
06-05 06:14Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.9079598115$102.12
05-28 15:11SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?BUY0.985$823.35
05-25 11:28Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?BUY0.998$823.09
05-06 13:12Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?BUY0.996$820.70
04-27 00:52Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?BUY0.999$409.99
04-20 07:09Trump out as President by April 30?BUY0.993$407.99