0x97CF8743dDF387dB269A76941B6aF1d26974c6eb-1769747285159
0x97cf8743ddf387db269a76941b6af1d26974c6eb
- Realised P&L
- $4.2k
- Volume
- $437.4k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $4.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.875 | 0.931 | $2.7k | +$161.53 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.819 | 0.875 | $1.1k | +$68.79 |
| Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.830 | $535.17 | +$135.17 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.385 | $427.68 | −$272.32 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June? · Yes | 0.431 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election · Yes | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.8k |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · Yes | 0.097 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$130.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.832Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$1.7kat 0.853Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
- +$1.7kat 0.864Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.787Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
- +$699.72at 0.592Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 06:57 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6301453505 | $700.00 |
| 09-01 07:57 | Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.8749657596 | $2.5k |
| 09-01 05:21 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | SELL | 0.9015772861 | $6.0k |
| 08-30 11:53 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.820683383 | $500.00 |
| 08-30 11:23 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.51 | $3.1k |
| 08-26 16:34 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.65 | $4.0k |
| 08-26 16:26 | Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9179725226 | $1.1k |
| 08-21 06:42 | Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8657000589 | $1000.00 |
| 08-21 06:41 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.8186832084 | $1000.00 |
| 08-21 06:18 | Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.6203683497 | $400.00 |
| 08-19 03:54 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.9630080721 | $3.3k |
| 08-14 04:18 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.8959135861 | $6.0k |
| 08-11 06:58 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.9156500801 | $3.6k |
| 08-06 07:07 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.9066659839 | $3.7k |
| 08-03 07:07 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.8648654598 | $3.0k |