PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-10-12
Resolves by
https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c
Rewards
20 min size · 8.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.085. up 0.013 over the period, from 0.072. Range 0.030 to 0.355. 166 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.152120120
0.1828128
0.18820148
0.21620168
0.28620188
0.37620208
0.457100308
0.45820328
0.61620348
0.76620368
0.99520388
0.99664452

Spread0.132Mid0.086

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0202020
0.0191333
0.017639
0.0053372
0.004100172
0.00221193
0.00155248

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9802020
0.9811333
0.983639
0.9953372
0.996100172
0.99821193
0.99955248

Spread0.132Mid0.914

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.848120120
0.8188128
0.81220148
0.78420168
0.71420188
0.62420208
0.543100308
0.54220328
0.38420348
0.23420368
0.00520388
0.00464452

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes173.71
2B9SYes75.28
johnashboughYes64.66
0x3a9d…f332Yes37.16
0xd0d9…30f2Yes20
Specialist200303Yes13.21
northdrawerYes4.44
0xa5ef…2966No363.34
HaradwaithNo13.43
BonereaperXNo5.12
JamesCodeNo5
orangutan51No1.54

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
02:25:32BUYNo0.97599996565$5.00
04:31:32BUYNo0.97199992222$1.50
22:19:18BUYYes0.0356$0.21
18:01:17BUYYes0.059701425165$3.86
10:56:49BUYYes0.0230$0.60
20:56:22BUYNo0.996334522745$44.68
20:56:22BUYNo0.99610$9.96
20:56:22BUYNo0.99723$22.93
20:56:22BUYNo0.9977$7.16
02:36:35BUYNo0.9975$4.99
02:36:35BUYNo0.99699999965$4.98
02:36:35BUYNo0.95357210$9.54
02:01:55BUYYes0.049248887237$1.83
20:30:14BUYYes0.0475$0.23
20:30:13BUYYes0.0475$0.23
13:17:18SELLYes0.0042$0.01
13:17:12BUYNo0.99618$17.93
19:06:08BUYYes0.075$0.35
08:43:30BUYYes0.05813$0.77
07:41:05BUYYes0.035$0.15
00:53:12BUYNo0.99599126649$9.12
00:53:12BUYNo0.9957$6.96
00:51:03SELLYes0.0052$0.01
00:50:59BUYNo0.99539703714$13.44
00:50:57BUYNo0.9955$4.97