Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.025. down 0.011 over the period, from 0.036. Range 0.024 to 0.042. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.025	3,716	3,716
0.026	600	4,316
0.027	500	4,816
0.028	1,626	6,442
0.030	310	6,752
0.032	129	6,880
0.033	394	7,275
0.034	50	7,325
0.035	764	8,089
0.037	700	8,789
0.039	538	9,327
0.040	1,868	11,195

Spread0.001Mid0.025

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.024	2,555	2,555
0.023	19,954	22,509
0.022	5,300	27,809
0.021	4,400	32,209
0.020	7,130	39,339
0.019	1,045	40,383
0.018	1,355	41,739
0.017	1,150	42,889
0.016	2,000	44,889
0.015	2,500	47,389
0.014	2,220	49,609
0.013	3,727	53,335

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.976	2,555	2,555
0.977	19,954	22,509
0.978	5,300	27,809
0.979	4,400	32,209
0.980	7,130	39,339
0.981	1,045	40,383
0.982	1,355	41,739
0.983	1,150	42,889
0.984	2,000	44,889
0.985	2,500	47,389
0.986	2,220	49,609
0.987	3,727	53,335

Spread0.001Mid0.976

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.975	3,716	3,716
0.974	600	4,316
0.973	500	4,816
0.972	1,626	6,442
0.970	310	6,752
0.968	129	6,880
0.967	394	7,275
0.966	50	7,325
0.965	764	8,089
0.963	700	8,789
0.961	538	9,327
0.960	1,868	11,195

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Odysseus.	Yes	138,818.7
0x0c21661b7b1F474914d3E77DF65700B341aA2A53-1726558601666	Yes	51,699.71
rosyprosperity	Yes	45,463.05
phantasys	Yes	40,010.2
0xcd4313426311739ffee5aced9e352f209f801b46	Yes	35,999.94
Magestictrader	Yes	33,451.95
hippoka	Yes	33,336.3
ImJustKen	Yes	24,740.32
Aluluba	Yes	20,235.2
kil26	Yes	19,315.47
mombil	Yes	18,281.33
Eatpraylove	Yes	17,429.33
Copezilla	Yes	14,147.2
baran-ludoman	Yes	12,379.28
0xA77	Yes	12,345.07
0x2460…9edf	Yes	12,335.78
Election2024	Yes	12,267.98
0x4e25…d7a7	Yes	10,675.72
Ferwhere	Yes	9,760.43
tiger11	Yes	8,930.26

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
23:17:24	SELL	No	0.975	6	$5.90
22:28:23	BUY	Yes	0.025	42	$1.05
21:44:36	SELL	Yes	0.024	75	$1.80
20:40:02	BUY	No	0.974	200	$194.81
19:58:02	BUY	No	0.974	5	$4.78
19:55:02	SELL	Yes	0.026	739	$19.22
19:52:30	SELL	Yes	0.026	247	$6.43
19:50:09	SELL	No	0.971	8	$7.31
19:47:39	SELL	Yes	0.025	234	$5.86
19:44:26	SELL	Yes	0.025	75	$1.87
19:38:53	SELL	No	0.971	50	$48.55
19:38:47	SELL	No	0.971	50	$48.55
19:38:44	BUY	Yes	0.0288288429	3,469	$100.00
19:11:21	BUY	No	0.976	8	$7.59
18:56:50	SELL	No	0.972	5	$5.03
18:15:15	BUY	No	0.976	6	$5.91
17:23:27	SELL	No	0.972	3	$2.83
17:23:00	SELL	No	0.973	5	$5.18
15:49:38	BUY	No	0.9759999969	3	$2.53
15:48:39	BUY	No	0.9759999939	3	$2.57
15:48:38	BUY	No	0.9759999939	3	$2.57
15:47:42	SELL	No	0.973	3	$2.52
15:47:41	SELL	No	0.9729414063	3	$2.49
15:47:41	SELL	No	0.973	3	$2.52
14:56:27	BUY	No	0.976	5	$5.05