PolyBot

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Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.003. down 0.009 over the period, from 0.012. Range 0.003 to 0.017. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0036,6546,654
0.00466,660
0.00556,665
0.0097207,385
0.0113,63311,018
0.01226511,284
0.01353111,815
0.0148,48020,295
0.0152,25722,551
0.0161,58324,135
0.0173,31727,451
0.01884728,298

Spread0.001Mid0.003

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.00236,35036,350
0.001146,524182,874

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99836,35036,350
0.999146,524182,874

Spread0.001Mid0.998

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9976,6546,654
0.99666,660
0.99556,665
0.9917207,385
0.9893,63311,018
0.98826511,284
0.98753111,815
0.9868,48020,295
0.9852,25722,551
0.9841,58324,135
0.9833,31727,451
0.98284728,298

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
ImJustKenYes197,396.59
0x0c21661b7b1F474914d3E77DF65700B341aA2A53-1726558601666Yes51,699.71
-ojoker-Yes37,428.47
0xcd4313426311739ffee5aced9e352f209f801b46Yes35,999.94
MagestictraderYes33,451.95
hippokaYes33,336.3
TimeTravelerYes31,831.04
kil26Yes26,615.36
notssf3Yes25,080.05
snoozerYes23,436.42
rosyprosperityYes20,878.63
AlulubaYes20,235.2
Election2024Yes19,677.98
mombilYes18,281.33
smallhappenthanbighappenYes16,428.31
phantasysYes15,010.2
CopezillaYes14,147.2
pm-maio-2026Yes13,595.76
tetroseYes13,530.81
baran-ludomanYes12,379.28

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
02:56:13SELLYes0.0026,651$13.30
01:24:57BUYYes0.003430$1.29
01:24:52BUYYes0.003889$2.67
01:24:52SELLYes0.00366436397,264$26.62
23:57:09SELLYes0.00475379656,533$31.06
23:55:43SELLYes0.007171$1.19
23:54:52BUYYes0.01071486756,533$70.00
22:48:49BUYYes0.005302$1.51
22:47:31SELLYes0.00533$0.17
22:24:04SELLYes0.00525$0.13
22:22:58SELLYes0.007306$2.14
22:22:25SELLYes0.0070299994167$1.17
22:22:24BUYYes0.006301$1.81
20:46:22BUYNo0.9956$6.12
19:59:46SELLYes0.005591$2.95
19:46:19BUYYes0.0083812598591$4.95
19:46:13BUYYes0.0065$0.03
19:46:01BUYYes0.0065$0.03
19:45:55BUYYes0.0065$0.03
19:45:49BUYYes0.0065$0.03
19:45:43BUYYes0.0065$0.03
19:45:37BUYYes0.0065$0.03
19:45:31BUYYes0.0065$0.03
19:45:25BUYYes0.0065$0.03
19:45:19BUYYes0.0065$0.03