0x246054885f0b3d6471c324a7a3a416dd81899edf
- Realised P&L
- $103.27
- Volume
- $37.0k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $570.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.024 | $289.89 | +$13.69 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.012 | $280.61 | −$95.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$178.98at 0.637Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 06:03 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0189999982 | $9.93 |
| 07-17 02:37 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0221842979 | $93.17 |
| 07-16 15:06 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0209999994 | $37.36 |
| 07-16 15:03 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0209999996 | $46.70 |
| 07-16 11:55 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0209999996 | $55.90 |
| 07-16 11:52 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0109999995 | $21.72 |
| 07-16 07:13 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0171468034 | $125.35 |
| 07-15 22:40 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0305956374 | $11.29 |
| 07-15 22:39 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0148812681 | $40.07 |
| 07-15 14:44 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.015865971 | $14.93 |
| 07-15 12:14 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0159671728 | $12.16 |
| 07-15 02:18 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0168666135 | $23.96 |
| 07-14 14:54 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0299999913 | $3.29 |
| 07-14 13:46 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.016 | $13.12 |
| 07-14 12:58 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.016838396 | $29.80 |