0x31644149Cc87BCbf70D987A0d94885902A7202BA-1757873083804
0x31644149cc87bcbf70d987a0d94885902a7202ba
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $634.3k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $257.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.062Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$1.0kat 0.099Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$-34.91at 0.007Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 18:06 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0013243989 | $50.00 |
| 09-17 18:02 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0036757097 | $45.36 |
| 09-17 06:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? | BUY | 0.0088943353 | $50.00 |
| 08-23 18:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August? | BUY | 0.0027410125 | $16.14 |
| 08-23 18:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? | BUY | 0.0038666022 | $10.00 |
| 08-23 18:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? | BUY | 0.0037950664 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 08:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? | BUY | 0.003 | $30.00 |
| 08-19 20:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? | BUY | 0.0029999997 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 11:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August? | BUY | 0.011 | $50.00 |
| 08-07 11:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August? | BUY | 0.0132713975 | $50.00 |
| 07-30 18:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 09:29 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $20.00 |
| 07-22 11:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July? | BUY | 0.0010308272 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 11:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July? | BUY | 0.0020026107 | $20.00 |
| 07-20 19:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July? | BUY | 0.003 | $50.00 |