PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x31644149Cc87BCbf70D987A0d94885902A7202BA-1757873083804

0x31644149cc87bcbf70d987a0d94885902a7202ba

Realised P&L
$-2.6k
Volume
$634.3k
Markets traded
97
Open portfolio
$257.93

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded97
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration69.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0010.004$151.01+$101.03
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0040.004$49.36+$4.01
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? · Yes0.0090.007$39.35$10.65
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0040.001$12.31$86.17
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0080.001$5.90$94.10
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$110.00
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$151.79
Will Solana reach $150 in April? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$990.45
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$19.99
Will XRP dip to $0.80 March 30-April 5? · Yes0.2640.000$0.00$646.64
Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$50.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 7? · Yes0.2560.000$0.00$1.1k
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET · Up0.2590.000$0.00$24.09
Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$10.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 18:06Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0013243989$50.00
09-17 18:02Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0036757097$45.36
09-17 06:15Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?BUY0.0088943353$50.00
08-23 18:55Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August?BUY0.0027410125$16.14
08-23 18:55Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?BUY0.0038666022$10.00
08-23 18:54Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?BUY0.0037950664$10.00
08-21 08:28Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?BUY0.003$30.00
08-19 20:34Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?BUY0.0029999997$10.00
08-07 11:51Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August?BUY0.011$50.00
08-07 11:50Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August?BUY0.0132713975$50.00
07-30 18:00Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?BUY0.001$10.00
07-29 09:29Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$20.00
07-22 11:30Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?BUY0.0010308272$10.00
07-22 11:29Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?BUY0.0020026107$20.00
07-20 19:10Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?BUY0.003$50.00