PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

augustine314

0x672dae852185c5952d6326e42a509501054c0252

Realised P&L
$-2.2k
Volume
$90.6k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$260.61

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0260.004$74.29$413.91
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0260.004$66.43$428.25
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0120.002$37.44$252.92
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0840.004$34.12$783.69
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0050.002$26.67$71.57
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4540.061$16.41$105.80
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4530.018$5.25$123.36

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-23 20:34Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0999158$199.83
03-23 20:33Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0898640133$15.17
03-23 20:30Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0315641307$40.26
03-23 20:29Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0490217391$2.25
03-23 20:25Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.041514461$180.04
03-23 20:19Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0320449477$51.33
03-23 20:15Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0089393367$16.29
03-23 20:12Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0267123162$367.87
03-23 20:09Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0050997888$80.14
03-23 20:06Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.101$6.56
03-23 20:04Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0226287458$76.79
03-23 20:02Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0291821436$11.41
03-23 19:58Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0180694282$40.87
03-23 19:48Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0907573297$29.62
03-23 19:43Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0241419504$63.41