PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xbfa90d4b9b032af640f593907b4a2807c9693bdf

Realised P&L
$-92.71
Volume
$16.9k
Markets traded
121
Open portfolio
$35.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded121
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? · Yes0.6301.000$29.00+$10.73
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0090.001$5.95$105.84
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.034$0.27$0.85
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$4.19
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$2.24
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$1.85
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? · Yes0.2570.000$0.00$6.19
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$5.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-27 18:26US recession by end of 2026?SELL0.74$4.44
04-27 18:11Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.591$15.37
04-27 15:16Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.15$29.03
04-27 11:30Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL0.4$26.40
04-27 10:52Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL0.4$59.37
04-26 19:21Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?SELL0.1$0.80
04-08 12:45Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0103990353$17.68
04-08 12:15Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.16$7.74
04-08 12:15Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0098641176$16.77
04-08 11:45Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.16$7.74
04-08 11:45Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0095823588$16.29
04-08 11:15Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.16$7.74
04-08 11:15Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0086805647$14.76
04-08 10:45Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.16$7.74
04-08 10:45Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0082437529$14.01