PolyBot

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Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Indonesia this month?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.55. down 0.09 over the period, from 0.65. Range 0.17 to 0.81. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.641010
0.682030
0.891848
0.902169
0.9836105
0.9960165

Spread0.18Mid0.55

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.4666
0.452026
0.275076
0.26581
0.1021102
0.0450152
0.02300452
0.015601,012

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.5466
0.552026
0.735076
0.74581
0.9021102
0.9650152
0.98300452
0.995601,012

Spread0.18Mid0.45

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.361010
0.322030
0.111848
0.102169
0.0236105
0.0160165

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes139.04
AlwaysHereYes46
GuyFromTinderYes2
0x3ff7…2fa2No80
SuSuDORISNo59.15
trademaster4000No20
chirenbuyuNo11.8
0x35fc2761f60ab64855A2A99CcD134f44D665ac54-1780763484342No9.62
ppyiagoNo6.48

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
12:37:53BUYNo0.3420$6.80
12:33:21BUYYes0.5215$7.60
11:49:33BUYYes0.5420$10.80
11:06:12BUYYes0.5920$11.80
10:20:30SELLYes0.62$1.20
17:58:06BUYYes0.6820$13.60
15:54:28BUYYes0.6563$40.95
14:49:07BUYNo0.4199999666$2.72
14:36:43BUYYes0.6223$14.26
14:07:50BUYNo0.51999994063$1.75
14:07:50BUYYes0.5520$11.00
13:56:43BUYYes0.5520$11.00
13:56:43BUYNo0.5099999333$1.75
13:07:07BUYYes0.5643$24.07
11:25:05BUYNo0.2920$5.80
08:38:14BUYYes0.520$10.00
08:27:47BUYNo0.2640$10.40
08:07:03BUYNo0.246$1.44
16:18:47BUYYes0.3820$7.60
16:18:38BUYYes0.247692307726$6.44
14:30:06BUYYes0.2520$5.00
00:45:52SELLYes0.1140$4.40
00:41:31BUYNo0.2720$5.40
00:40:47BUYNo0.2920$5.80
00:40:46BUYNo0.2582$20.50