0x35fc2761f60ab64855A2A99CcD134f44D665ac54-1780763484342
0x35fc2761f60ab64855a2a99ccd134f44d665ac54
- Realised P&L
- $31.10
- Volume
- $223.4k
- Markets traded
- 3,463
- Open portfolio
- $34.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,463
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 1? · Yes | 0.295 | 0.625 | $34.37 | +$18.12 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 1? · Yes | 0.217 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$16.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$114.23at 0.039Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 4?
- +$107.59at 0.992Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 1?
- +$74.11at 0.093Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 21?
- +$66.67at 0.085Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 16?
- +$66.07at 0.200Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 01:59 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.3 | $15.00 |
| 10-01 01:55 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 1? | SELL | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 10-01 01:53 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 1? | SELL | 0.24 | $8.16 |
| 09-30 21:27 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.28 | $15.06 |
| 09-30 21:05 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.19 | $7.41 |
| 09-30 01:30 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.85 | $0.59 |
| 09-29 03:50 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.17 |
| 09-29 01:40 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.68 | $3.45 |
| 09-29 01:40 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.68 | $7.10 |
| 09-29 00:33 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.86 | $21.00 |
| 09-28 07:41 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.22 | $6.05 |
| 09-28 05:50 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.0322782446 | $0.35 |
| 09-28 05:26 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.31 |
| 09-28 05:05 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.45 | $6.94 |
| 09-28 03:46 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or below on September 28? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |