PolyBot

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Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.07 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.75 · takers only
Ends
2028-01-01
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.238. down 0.080 over the period, from 0.318. Range 0.204 to 0.318. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.2524040
0.253168208
0.25496304
0.255100404
0.26230434
0.26462496
0.2799201,416
0.2804141,831
0.2995002,331
0.3211002,431
0.3305002,931
0.399132,944

Spread0.026Mid0.239

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.2266060
0.2221070
0.21572142
0.214296438
0.210108546
0.20980626
0.208326952
0.2061401,092
0.2052,4793,572
0.2049,62013,192
0.2035013,242
0.20038813,629

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.7746060
0.7781070
0.78572142
0.786296438
0.790108546
0.79180626
0.792326952
0.7941401,092
0.7952,4793,572
0.7969,62013,192
0.7975013,242
0.80038813,629

Spread0.026Mid0.761

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.7484040
0.747168208
0.74696304
0.745100404
0.73830434
0.73662496
0.7219201,416
0.7204141,831
0.7015002,331
0.6791002,431
0.6705002,931
0.601132,944

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
supertrader777Yes9,762.96
meepsYes9,521.66
neutralwave23Yes8,318.58
topblastcapitalYes7,545.02
0xBaseYes7,170.48
ThrfbYes4,414.63
12334gYes4,304.32
nillionYes3,028.43
imjustalarpYes2,999.99
ratcarcassYes2,801.66
altsaredeadYes2,520.5
0x35152f23cAafb99941F4BA2647De310616E79660-1779359348754Yes1,668.34
0x6ee96C9F3cA969356ee4A24d2569E7E9838c78E3-1718737354013Yes1,630.41
0xC2E523cb31e122FB24a2D9cBCFDD8ec400038549-1779304830200Yes1,480.94
MASENYes1,403.81
ligeiwoguolaiYes1,084.06
aletheYes1,056.03
allinhypeYes898.63
XLMMYes741.24
canyonboyYes699

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:40:54BUYYes0.25199999820$5.00
14:13:58SELLNo0.75757$43.04
12:31:12BUYYes0.2273790667150$34.11
04:37:13SELLNo0.77150$38.55
04:37:06SELLNo0.77150$38.55
04:30:34BUYYes0.224100$22.40
04:30:03BUYYes0.22330$6.69
04:28:00BUYYes0.22250$11.10
23:59:31BUYYes0.221999995345$10.00
19:45:04SELLNo0.76623$17.60
07:48:40BUYNo0.7910$7.90
00:00:01BUYNo0.789999997731$24.29
12:13:24SELLYes0.2061$0.21
11:39:58SELLYes0.20628$5.72
10:53:00BUYYes0.2401549337416$100.00
10:45:19BUYYes0.2167250$10.84
10:26:24BUYYes0.21240$8.48
05:32:15SELLNo0.7862935154293$230.38
05:14:21BUYNo0.79630$23.88
05:13:39BUYNo0.796500$398.00
04:59:27BUYNo0.79543$34.19
04:57:49SELLNo0.79432$25.41
04:56:48SELLNo0.79452$41.29
04:55:58BUYNo0.791834500$395.92
04:55:28BUYNo0.7950$39.50