AK4747
0xa5bf6bb735f88f5e2260a7f555bb986cfd3d8763
- Realised P&L
- $-39.4k
- Volume
- $2.19M
- Markets traded
- 824
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded824
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.7kat 0.599Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?
- +$2.7kat 0.242Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?
- +$2.4kat 0.240Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?
- +$1.6kat 0.080Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 26-1?
- +$1.1kat 0.156Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 20:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $135.03 |
| 10-15 20:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $113.30 |
| 10-15 20:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $222.00 |
| 10-15 20:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $3.32 |
| 10-15 14:44 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $49.32 |
| 10-15 14:43 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $116.55 |
| 10-15 00:10 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.7 | $1.2k |
| 10-14 13:54 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.56 | $949.30 |
| 10-12 11:54 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.59 | $87.01 |
| 10-10 19:54 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.281 | $42.93 |
| 10-08 13:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2798498498 | $93.19 |
| 10-08 01:52 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $51.94 |
| 10-08 01:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $179.49 |
| 10-07 14:08 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.319 | $575.62 |
| 10-07 14:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $104.14 |