PolyBot

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Traders

AK4747

0xa5bf6bb735f88f5e2260a7f555bb986cfd3d8763

Realised P&L
$-39.4k
Volume
$2.19M
Markets traded
824
Open portfolio
$3.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded824
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.3570.275$1.2k−$371.65
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2610.095$1.2k−$2.0k
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3580.218$214.78−$137.19
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4230.175$180.41−$255.81
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? · Yes0.2290.155$148.18−$70.69
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.5900.565$83.32−$3.69
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? · Yes0.0980.032$80.30−$169.14
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.105$9.61−$7.78
Will $ANSEM reach $0.6 before 2027? · Yes0.1950.050$6.01−$17.37
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0080 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.105$4.30−$2.25
Will $ANSEM reach $1 before 2027? · Yes0.0900.033$1.63−$2.88
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2800.014$0.70−$13.33
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? · Yes0.7320.000$0.00−$431.30
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2120.000$0.00−$148.50
Will Solana reach $190 in November? · Yes0.0990.000$0.00−$463.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 20:29Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.25$135.03
10-15 20:20Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.25$113.30
10-15 20:19Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.25$222.00
10-15 20:19Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.24$3.32
10-15 14:44Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.35$49.32
10-15 14:43Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.35$116.55
10-15 00:10Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.7$1.2k
10-14 13:54Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.56$949.30
10-12 11:54Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.59$87.01
10-10 19:54Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.281$42.93
10-08 13:32Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2798498498$93.19
10-08 01:52Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.49$51.94
10-08 01:52Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.31$179.49
10-07 14:08Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.319$575.62
10-07 14:08Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.31$104.14