0x6ee96C9F3cA969356ee4A24d2569E7E9838c78E3-1718737354013
0x6ee96c9f3ca969356ee4a24d2569e7e9838c78e3
- Realised P&L
- $-2.9k
- Volume
- $36.2k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.479 | 0.605 | $1.3k | +$276.99 |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.583 | 0.750 | $1.1k | +$254.10 |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.252 | 0.236 | $385.59 | −$24.64 |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by January 31? · Yes | 0.382 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025? · No | 0.283 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs · Team Falcons | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A · Team Falcons | 0.511 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$163.28 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$700.00 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) · Team Falcons | 0.261 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$104.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$546.12at 0.518Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 3 Winner
- +$398.76at 0.331Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?
- +$-99.46at 0.186Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?
- +$-127.25at 0.194Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?
- +$-142.61at 0.971Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 06:05 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5899999998 | $260.49 |
| 08-24 05:49 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2516133427 | $410.23 |
| 08-24 05:40 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4790940909 | $1.1k |
| 08-24 05:38 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.58 | $625.90 |
| 05-30 15:46 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.4799999998 | $700.00 |
| 05-26 06:31 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 26? | SELL | 0.999 | $449.05 |
| 05-26 06:29 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 26? | SELL | 0.6 | $30.00 |
| 05-26 06:28 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 26? | SELL | 0.6174 | $30.87 |
| 05-26 06:27 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 26? | SELL | 0.6796136 | $33.98 |
| 05-26 06:27 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 26? | SELL | 0.6504213587 | $24.61 |
| 05-26 06:27 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 26? | SELL | 0.6013076 | $30.07 |
| 05-26 06:26 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 26? | SELL | 0.6153 | $30.76 |
| 05-26 06:26 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 26? | SELL | 0.60115 | $30.06 |
| 05-26 06:25 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 26? | SELL | 0.615 | $30.75 |
| 05-26 06:25 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 26? | SELL | 0.67342 | $33.67 |