0xBase
0xabbde50e821e51c0a514e11333d34a8ab4cbf261
- Realised P&L
- $-11.1k
- Volume
- $936.5k
- Markets traded
- 323
- Open portfolio
- $5.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded323
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.354 | 0.610 | $4.4k | +$1.8k |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.144 | 0.218 | $1.6k | +$534.88 |
| Spread: Spain (-4.5) · Spain | 0.211 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Spread: Spain (-3.5) · Spain | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$180.00 |
| Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-26? · Yes | 0.329 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$295.88 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw? · Yes | 0.355 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$54.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.612Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?
- +$1.5kat 0.879Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$1.5kat 0.407Spread: Mexico (-1.5)
- +$1.0kat 0.449Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-28?
- +$930.99at 0.576Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 20:50 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2069681766 | $300.00 |
| 06-15 15:51 | Spread: Spain (-3.5) | BUY | 0.3499999998 | $1000.00 |
| 06-15 15:49 | Spread: Spain (-4.5) | BUY | 0.2110888148 | $300.00 |
| 06-11 18:58 | Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4 | $978.68 |
| 05-02 14:26 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02? | BUY | 0.53 | $300.00 |
| 04-28 18:07 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? | BUY | 0.3699999996 | $500.00 |
| 04-26 11:38 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1899999959 | $28.54 |
| 04-26 11:37 | Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-26? | BUY | 0.1299999991 | $113.74 |
| 04-16 17:31 | Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-16? | SELL | 0.85 | $166.17 |
| 04-16 17:16 | Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-16? | BUY | 0.25 | $47.75 |
| 04-16 12:09 | Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | SELL | 0.79 | $15.80 |
| 04-16 12:09 | Will Dow (DOW) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.6038558824 | $20.53 |
| 04-16 12:08 | Will Verizon (VZ) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.77 | $38.50 |
| 04-14 18:16 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14? | BUY | 0.3699999996 | $288.66 |
| 04-14 18:15 | Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30? | SELL | 0.116764 | $5.84 |