PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xBase

0xabbde50e821e51c0a514e11333d34a8ab4cbf261

Realised P&L
$-13.6k
Volume
$925.1k
Markets traded
323
Open portfolio
$701.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded323
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.3160.310$556.27$10.05
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.1110.135$144.99+$25.20
Spread: Spain (-4.5) · Spain0.2110.000$0.00$300.00
Spread: Spain (-3.5) · Spain0.3500.000$0.00$1000.00
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$180.00
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-26? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$116.87
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$300.00
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$500.00
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$29.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-15 15:51Spread: Spain (-3.5)BUY0.3499999998$1000.00
06-15 15:49Spread: Spain (-4.5)BUY0.2110888148$300.00
06-11 18:58Spread: Mexico (-1.5)BUY0.4$978.68
05-02 14:26Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?BUY0.53$300.00
04-28 18:07Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?BUY0.3699999996$500.00
04-26 11:38Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?BUY0.1899999959$28.54
04-26 11:37Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-26?BUY0.1299999991$113.74
04-16 17:31Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-16?SELL0.85$166.17
04-16 17:16Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-16?BUY0.25$47.75
04-16 12:09Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?SELL0.79$15.80
04-16 12:09Will Dow (DOW) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.6038558824$20.53
04-16 12:08Will Verizon (VZ) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.77$38.50
04-14 18:16Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?BUY0.3699999996$288.66
04-14 18:15Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?SELL0.116764$5.84
04-14 12:40Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer leave the Trump administration before 2027?SELL0.75$0.11