Jack7117
0xcef62ade3852cc3b68a69ead082a11f96a3a353f
- Realised P&L
- $-29.31
- Volume
- $21.4k
- Markets traded
- 133
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded133
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.606 | 0.555 | $2.2k | −$198.47 |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.283 | 0.276 | $877.93 | −$21.36 |
| Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.126 | 0.139 | $33.21 | +$3.08 |
| Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Morocco? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Morocco? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.60 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.30at 0.209Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$67.26at 0.313Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$60.79at 0.455Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$52.11at 0.743Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
- +$50.16at 0.526Erling Haaland: 1+ goals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 15:06 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5599999992 | $53.33 |
| 10-16 01:23 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5899999992 | $70.20 |
| 10-16 01:23 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2639999992 | $25.00 |
| 10-11 14:22 | Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1069999941 | $1.57 |
| 10-10 16:35 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6099999996 | $299.81 |
| 10-10 16:34 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2809999993 | $100.00 |
| 10-10 16:34 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.79 | $420.90 |
| 10-07 16:49 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.23 |
| 10-07 09:31 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.729999999 | $381.81 |
| 10-07 09:30 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3052960782 | $100.00 |
| 10-07 09:30 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6099999999 | $701.00 |
| 10-02 13:43 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7099999843 | $7.23 |
| 10-02 13:43 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6086873672 | $933.69 |
| 09-30 06:33 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6299999911 | $19.88 |
| 09-30 06:33 | Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1316051836 | $10.00 |