PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nillion

0x797165e2cc7f7561ee62d7af2751cb62e10abaf0

Realised P&L
$-500.32
Volume
$50.3k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$4.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.2850.276$1.9k−$59.99
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.5630.555$1.5k−$22.08
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.1280.139$864.13+$63.80
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes0.0610.057$328.56−$24.81
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? · Yes0.0260.035$57.47+$14.47
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET · Down0.2900.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$199.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 11:08Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.2980188319$100.00
11-01 11:04Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETBUY0.01$49.04
11-01 11:04Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETBUY0.01$50.96
11-01 11:04Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETBUY0.01$98.84
11-01 11:04Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETBUY0.01$1.16
10-31 20:32Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.1322759509$200.00
10-30 21:44Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.2995613311$500.00
10-30 20:55Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.285511095$350.00
10-30 18:40Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.1365079393$211.00
10-30 18:38Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.5699999996$500.00
10-30 16:35Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?BUY0.0268175715$42.00
10-30 16:30Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.2790390875$820.00
10-30 15:11Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.5599999999$1000.00
10-30 15:10Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?BUY0.0535797376$65.00
10-30 15:08Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.1147727205$50.00