nillion
0x797165e2cc7f7561ee62d7af2751cb62e10abaf0
- Realised P&L
- $-500.32
- Volume
- $50.3k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $4.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.285 | 0.276 | $1.9k | −$59.99 |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.563 | 0.555 | $1.5k | −$22.08 |
| Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.128 | 0.139 | $864.13 | +$63.80 |
| Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.057 | $328.56 | −$24.81 |
| Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.035 | $57.47 | +$14.47 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET · Down | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$199.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-4.95at 0.490GRVT FDV above $350M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 11:08 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2980188319 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 11:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $49.04 |
| 11-01 11:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $50.96 |
| 11-01 11:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $98.84 |
| 11-01 11:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.16 |
| 10-31 20:32 | Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1322759509 | $200.00 |
| 10-30 21:44 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2995613311 | $500.00 |
| 10-30 20:55 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.285511095 | $350.00 |
| 10-30 18:40 | Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1365079393 | $211.00 |
| 10-30 18:38 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5699999996 | $500.00 |
| 10-30 16:35 | Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0268175715 | $42.00 |
| 10-30 16:30 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2790390875 | $820.00 |
| 10-30 15:11 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5599999999 | $1000.00 |
| 10-30 15:10 | Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0535797376 | $65.00 |
| 10-30 15:08 | Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1147727205 | $50.00 |