nillion
0x797165e2cc7f7561ee62d7af2751cb62e10abaf0
- Realised P&L
- $8.88
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $111.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.129 | 0.127 | $97.51 | −$1.49 |
| Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.021 | $13.87 | +$3.17 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET · Down | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.42at 0.027Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
- +$-4.28at 0.472GRVT FDV above $350M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 13:00 | GRVT FDV above $350M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.27 | $5.72 |
| 07-17 14:39 | GRVT FDV above $350M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4722222104 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 12:23 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1289448781 | $99.00 |
| 07-10 09:58 | Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0120267001 | $1.93 |
| 07-08 22:37 | Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0266883241 | $3.27 |
| 07-08 21:16 | Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.031 | $0.28 |
| 07-08 21:15 | Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.038 | $4.91 |
| 07-08 20:45 | Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.038 | $5.02 |
| 07-08 20:16 | Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0377125548 | $9.46 |
| 07-08 09:42 | Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0655714286 | $2.87 |
| 07-08 09:31 | Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0632559524 | $10.63 |
| 07-07 19:52 | Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0151372713 | $2.50 |
| 07-07 19:45 | Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0232441875 | $15.00 |
| 06-06 20:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |