OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2028-01-01
Rewards: 40 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

OpenAI. Currently 0.59. up 0.04 over the period, from 0.56. Range 0.56 to 0.60. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

OpenAI

Live

OpenAI asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.60	1,267	1,267
0.61	552	1,820
0.62	149	1,969
0.63	75	2,044
0.99	95	2,139

Spread0.01Mid0.59

OpenAI bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.59	333	333
0.58	1,107	1,440
0.57	115	1,555
0.56	137	1,692
0.51	43	1,735
0.36	20	1,755
0.27	50	1,805
0.26	20	1,825
0.22	100	1,925
0.01	95	2,020

Anthropic

Live

Anthropic asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.41	333	333
0.42	1,107	1,440
0.43	115	1,555
0.44	137	1,692
0.49	43	1,735
0.64	20	1,755
0.73	50	1,805
0.74	20	1,825
0.78	100	1,925
0.99	95	2,020

Spread0.01Mid0.41

Anthropic bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.40	1,267	1,267
0.39	552	1,820
0.38	149	1,969
0.37	75	2,044
0.01	95	2,139

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
crashhbandii7	OpenAI	359.81
ayosussybenny	OpenAI	100
mjh1979	OpenAI	3.28
erFiodena	OpenAI	1.45
Maximus374	Anthropic	100
Lolakis	Anthropic	100
from00	Anthropic	100
AJSV	Anthropic	71.2
aliiz	Anthropic	43
S888	Anthropic	23.28
youtube-trader	Anthropic	20
x26	Anthropic	5.61
Elephante461	Anthropic	1.45

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
21:04:22	BUY	OpenAI	0.6099999116	3	$2.00
15:00:12	SELL	Anthropic	0.43	30	$12.90
20:56:48	BUY	OpenAI	0.5558494177	360	$200.00
19:12:31	BUY	Anthropic	0.6899999586	1	$1.00
17:15:10	BUY	Anthropic	0.56	100	$56.00