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Traders

Elephante461

0x5e74efe55e9df77c21d67ec703d0415563adf86b

Realised P&L
$-65.56
Volume
$7.4k
Markets traded
564
Open portfolio
$7.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded564
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? · No0.9300.986$1.06+$0.06
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.9680.994$1.03+$0.03
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.9750.996$1.02+$0.02
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · No0.7000.715$1.02+$0.02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9590.966$1.01+$0.01
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9620.965$1.00+$0.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8400.835$0.99−$0.01
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement? · Anthropic0.6900.405$0.59−$0.41
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? · Yes0.9800.173$0.18−$0.82
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET · Up0.1600.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET · Down0.0700.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET · Down0.4400.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET · Down0.2800.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET · Up0.2400.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 14:48Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETSELL0.99$1.04
09-25 14:48Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETBUY0.95$1.00
09-21 06:50Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETBUY0.4$5.00
09-19 12:39Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETBUY0.2$1.00
09-19 11:44Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETSELL0.99$3.41
09-19 11:40Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETBUY0.2899999884$1.00
09-19 11:26Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETBUY0.1199999904$1.00
09-19 11:12Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETBUY0.3399999388$1.00
09-19 10:37Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETBUY0.2399999808$1.00
09-18 19:22Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.9679998606$1.00
09-18 19:21Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.9589999722$1.00
09-18 19:20Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.9749990738$1.00
09-18 19:20Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.9619991111$1.00
09-18 19:18Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?BUY0.9299999907$1.00
09-18 19:16Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.8399994288$1.00
Trader Elephante461 · PolyBot Pro