Elephante461
0x5e74efe55e9df77c21d67ec703d0415563adf86b
- Realised P&L
- $-65.56
- Volume
- $7.4k
- Markets traded
- 564
- Open portfolio
- $7.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded564
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.73at 0.064Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
- +$19.11at 0.343Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
- +$10.05at 0.096Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
- +$9.63at 0.177Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
- +$9.48at 0.386Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 14:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.04 |
| 09-25 14:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 12:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 11:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $3.41 |
| 09-19 11:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 11:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 11:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 10:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 19:22 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.9679998606 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 19:21 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.9589999722 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 19:20 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.9749990738 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 19:20 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9619991111 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 19:18 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 19:16 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8399994288 | $1.00 |