PolyBot

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Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 20, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-21
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.074. down 0.030 over the period, from 0.104. Range 0.032 to 0.135. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0818080
0.087313393
0.088200593
0.089122715
0.0901,3292,044
0.0912502,294
0.0934002,694
0.09562,700
0.1202872,987
0.17182,996
0.172103,005
0.177103,015

Spread0.016Mid0.073

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0653030
0.0645181
0.062145226
0.061433659
0.0581,2901,949
0.0572722,221
0.0555562,777
0.053582,835
0.008142,849
0.007162,865
0.003482,913
0.0024003,313

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9353030
0.9365181
0.938145226
0.939433659
0.9421,2901,949
0.9432722,221
0.9455562,777
0.947582,835
0.992142,849
0.993162,865
0.997482,913
0.9984003,313

Spread0.016Mid0.927

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9198080
0.913313393
0.912200593
0.911122715
0.9101,3292,044
0.9092502,294
0.9074002,694
0.90562,700
0.8802872,987
0.82982,996
0.828103,005
0.823103,015

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
aeschelaYes287.34
youtube-traderYes63.21
AJSVYes44.44
0x5aC6A47E5CEC3139781051E917A44D512507a9C2-1769516584279Yes36.23
GuyFromTinderYes30.4
viniiYes25.77
FoxGYes10
intelligence98Yes1.83
0xa5ef…2966No460.57
balthazarNo25.29
Hugin-og-MuninNo15

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
05:25:23BUYYes0.17466971895$16.57
05:23:17BUYYes0.0883211614192$17.00
20:35:57BUYNo0.99340$39.72
13:00:19BUYNo0.992033965220$19.84
02:56:20BUYNo0.9965$4.98
02:55:34SELLNo0.9265$4.63
19:21:28BUYNo0.994682392370$69.62
02:20:41BUYNo0.955$4.75
02:13:17SELLYes0.05123$1.17
02:13:14BUYNo0.94943$40.81
02:13:12BUYNo0.94910$9.49
12:42:04BUYYes0.137999996436$5.00
05:33:08BUYNo0.891999996423$20.70
05:32:58SELLYes0.10824$2.60
02:36:20BUYYes0.0126$0.26
18:06:44BUYNo0.9938$8.35
18:09:36BUYNo0.99$8.10
18:09:15SELLYes0.10110$1.01
14:56:23SELLYes0.10110$1.01
14:40:12SELLYes0.10111$1.14
11:52:39SELLYes0.00211$0.02
00:25:56BUYNo0.995$4.95
00:25:56BUYNo0.995$4.95
00:25:15BUYNo0.995$4.95
00:23:15BUYNo0.995$4.95