FoxG
0x4c2ad8ba4c0d2e809e2ed2ef91bfffa3d98e4773
- Realised P&L
- $-36.53
- Volume
- $850.55
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $24.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? · No | 0.840 | 0.976 | $23.41 | +$3.25 |
| Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 20, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.070 | $0.70 | −$1.50 |
| Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.038 | $0.46 | −$0.74 |
| Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 17, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.010 | $0.12 | −$1.08 |
| Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.64 |
| Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.53 |
| Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 8, 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.01at 0.588Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$2.85at 0.430Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 2?
- +$2.81at 0.740Will Kamala say "It's not over" in her speech after the election is called?
- +$2.76at 0.830Bitcoin above $76,000 on November 15?
- +$2.35at 0.530Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 06:07 | Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.64 |
| 02-08 09:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 02-08 09:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $0.79 |
| 02-08 08:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | SELL | 0.14 | $0.70 |
| 02-08 08:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.79 | $3.90 |
| 01-19 09:12 | Google forced to sell Chrome? | SELL | 0.87 | $6.96 |
| 11-07 13:30 | No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting? | BUY | 0.0170000004 | $1.00 |
| 11-06 15:37 | Will Kamala say "It's not over" in her speech after the election is called? | BUY | 0.7399999833 | $8.00 |
| 11-06 15:32 | Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024? | BUY | 0.5899999843 | $9.00 |
| 11-02 12:37 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.5879999945 | $25.70 |