0x5aC6A47E5CEC3139781051E917A44D512507a9C2-1769516584279
0x5ac6a47e5cec3139781051e917a44d512507a9c2
- Realised P&L
- $-153.12
- Volume
- $58.1k
- Markets traded
- 502
- Open portfolio
- $82.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded502
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$139.97at 0.170Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$60.69at 0.048Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$49.54at 0.420MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$28.25at 0.457Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
- +$26.28at 0.233Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 09:15 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.339999985 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 09:15 | SSI public model released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 08:28 | Will XRP reach $1.80 in September? | BUY | 0.8139999886 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 08:25 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 08:24 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 08:16 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | SELL | 0.49 | $2.63 |
| 09-21 08:16 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 28? | BUY | 0.3137254902 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 12:25 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2197802198 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 12:24 | Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 11:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 14-20? | SELL | 0.23 | $3.19 |
| 09-18 11:26 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in September? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.46 |
| 09-18 11:21 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 11:20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 15:31 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $9.24 |
| 09-17 15:28 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $3.08 |