PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on September 18?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-18
Resolves by
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.005. down 0.190 over the period, from 0.195. Range 0.005 to 0.195. 46 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.009125125
0.01010135
0.03333168
0.10930198
0.11038236
0.13012248
0.16020268
0.49914281
0.50014295
0.55016311
0.60018329
0.65020349

Spread0.007Mid0.005

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.00266
0.001137143

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99866
0.999137143

Spread0.007Mid0.994

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.991125125
0.99010135
0.96733168
0.89130198
0.89038236
0.87012248
0.84020268
0.50114281
0.50014295
0.45016311
0.40018329
0.35020349

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes200
marinelepinYes98.93
wildestdogYes70.66
sergiovandogYes33.33
0xabc1…d8f5Yes20
5a82666suyuchenYes12
fabres04Yes11.7
sonofweather67Yes10
tradetosurvive1Yes7.29
0xblockedYes5.63
onefishYes5
0xa5ef…2966No369.58
BilberryNo61.59
0xcee6…0a45No27.29
anthill1No8.05
Minsa.No5.63
0xc192…323bNo2.38

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
18:00:33SELLYes0.0222$0.44
15:12:46SELLYes0.0333$1.00
03:11:00SELLNo0.871$0.64
03:11:00SELLNo0.9219$17.48
15:16:35BUYNo0.8427$22.92
15:12:30BUYNo0.86999998586$4.90
15:11:32BUYNo0.87906878288$7.08
15:11:29BUYNo0.86999998073$2.71
15:11:29BUYNo0.853247752481$68.76
12:23:12BUYYes0.274945846899$27.20