sergiovandog
0xb7eceb97b2dce79c67dba70ec67950f160563a46
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $478.4k
- Markets traded
- 9,019
- Open portfolio
- $41.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded9,019
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration44.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$156.43at 0.015Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?
- +$86.82at 0.020Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 15°C on September 8?
- +$84.62at 0.014Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16?
- +$59.88at 0.032Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C or below on August 30?
- +$52.33at 0.011Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 06:29 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 4? | SELL | 0.27 | $3.00 |
| 08-29 06:59 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 29? | SELL | 0.8 | $3.42 |
| 08-25 03:41 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 24? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.18 |
| 08-25 03:41 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on August 24? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.50 |
| 08-19 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 19? | SELL | 0.93 | $3.13 |
| 08-12 20:27 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 13? | SELL | 0.1924528302 | $0.82 |
| 08-12 08:31 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 12? | SELL | 0.099 | $1.65 |
| 08-12 06:59 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 12? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.50 |
| 08-12 06:30 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 12? | SELL | 0.102987013 | $1.43 |
| 08-12 04:17 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 12? | SELL | 0.578 | $1.28 |
| 08-12 04:17 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 12? | SELL | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 08-11 23:20 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 12? | SELL | 0.1033122315 | $4.57 |
| 08-11 07:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 11? | SELL | 0.0725 | $1.45 |
| 08-10 14:02 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 10? | SELL | 0.076002401 | $1.27 |
| 08-10 10:34 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 10? | SELL | 0.64 | $2.25 |