PolyBot

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Traders

sergiovandog

0xb7eceb97b2dce79c67dba70ec67950f160563a46

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$478.4k
Markets traded
9,019
Open portfolio
$41.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded9,019
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration44.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 18? · Yes0.0790.250$6.37+$4.37
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on September 17? · Yes0.0100.044$5.37+$4.11
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on September 17? · Yes0.1601.000$4.91+$4.13
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 17? · Yes0.1800.985$4.73+$3.86
Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C on September 18? · Yes0.0690.150$4.30+$2.32
Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 26°C on September 18? · Yes0.0600.240$2.00+$1.50
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 18? · Yes0.1320.140$1.70+$0.10
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on September 17? · Yes0.0430.030$1.38$0.62
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on September 18? · Yes0.1500.145$1.26$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 17? · Yes0.0901.000$1.20+$1.09
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 17? · Yes0.0410.020$0.97$1.03
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on September 17? · Yes0.0090.004$0.90$1.11
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 18? · No0.0600.025$0.82$1.16
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on September 18? · Yes0.0400.060$0.75+$0.25
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 18? · No0.1500.055$0.73$1.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 06:29Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 4?SELL0.27$3.00
08-29 06:59Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 29?SELL0.8$3.42
08-25 03:41Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 24?SELL0.999$2.18
08-25 03:41Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on August 24?SELL0.999$2.50
08-19 08:01Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 19?SELL0.93$3.13
08-12 20:27Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 13?SELL0.1924528302$0.82
08-12 08:31Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 12?SELL0.099$1.65
08-12 06:59Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 12?SELL0.2$2.50
08-12 06:30Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 12?SELL0.102987013$1.43
08-12 04:17Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 12?SELL0.578$1.28
08-12 04:17Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 12?SELL0.48$4.80
08-11 23:20Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 12?SELL0.1033122315$4.57
08-11 07:08Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 11?SELL0.0725$1.45
08-10 14:02Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 10?SELL0.076002401$1.27
08-10 10:34Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 10?SELL0.64$2.25