marinelepin
0xd2c182ba82504b983bf1e358cb81ec5ebb045b62
- Realised P&L
- $1.7k
- Volume
- $59.8k
- Markets traded
- 869
- Open portfolio
- $208.00
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded869
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$129.75at 0.136Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 7?
- +$111.29at 0.171Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on September 10?
- +$107.57at 0.208Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 14?
- +$99.32at 0.220Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on September 15?
- +$77.84at 0.132Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 23:45 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 19? | SELL | 0.36 | $17.00 |
| 09-17 18:37 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.3005929915 | $27.20 |
| 09-17 17:32 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.2453323712 | $27.20 |
| 09-17 17:17 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.2879369716 | $13.60 |
| 09-17 12:06 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.0898052112 | $2.13 |
| 09-17 08:18 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.2272009164 | $27.20 |
| 09-17 08:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.2486668668 | $19.13 |
| 09-17 08:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.3599999979 | $27.20 |
| 09-17 06:08 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 18? | SELL | 0.32 | $32.04 |
| 09-17 01:26 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.2699999956 | $7.97 |
| 09-16 23:51 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.2 | $6.38 |
| 09-16 23:46 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.108978886 | $20.83 |
| 09-16 23:28 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.97 | $38.80 |
| 09-16 19:39 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.2716494825 | $27.20 |
| 09-16 18:14 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.1874877427 | $4.78 |