PolyBot

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Traders

marinelepin

0xd2c182ba82504b983bf1e358cb81ec5ebb045b62

Realised P&L
$1.7k
Volume
$59.8k
Markets traded
869
Open portfolio
$208.00

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded869
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 18? · Yes0.2590.440$46.29+$19.09
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on September 18? · Yes0.1220.175$39.03+$11.82
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 19? · Yes0.2270.265$31.73+$4.53
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 19? · Yes0.2450.270$29.93+$2.73
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on September 18? · Yes0.3000.250$22.62$4.58
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 19? · Yes0.2490.225$17.31$1.82
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 18? · Yes0.2600.140$14.65$12.55
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on September 18? · Yes0.3600.060$4.53$22.67
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 19? · Yes0.0900.040$0.95$1.18
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on September 18? · Yes0.2750.005$0.54$26.66
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 17? · Yes0.1300.002$0.42$26.78
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 12? · Yes0.2950.000$0.00$12.75
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 14? · Yes0.2930.000$0.00$14.45
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 7? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$5.10
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 29? · Yes0.2970.000$0.00$6.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 23:45Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 19?SELL0.36$17.00
09-17 18:37Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on September 18?BUY0.3005929915$27.20
09-17 17:32Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 19?BUY0.2453323712$27.20
09-17 17:17Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 19?BUY0.2879369716$13.60
09-17 12:06Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 19?BUY0.0898052112$2.13
09-17 08:18Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 19?BUY0.2272009164$27.20
09-17 08:08Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 19?BUY0.2486668668$19.13
09-17 08:08Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on September 18?BUY0.3599999979$27.20
09-17 06:08Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 18?SELL0.32$32.04
09-17 01:26Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 18?BUY0.2699999956$7.97
09-16 23:51Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on September 18?BUY0.2$6.38
09-16 23:46Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on September 18?BUY0.108978886$20.83
09-16 23:28Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on September 16?SELL0.97$38.80
09-16 19:39Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 18?BUY0.2716494825$27.20
09-16 18:14Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 18?BUY0.1874877427$4.78