runningman-848
0xcee6a215f2de749afd3a6a74721cc0c4fbb80a45
- Realised P&L
- $-5.6k
- Volume
- $3.50M
- Markets traded
- 21,363
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded21,363
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.5kat 0.070Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by March 31?
- +$5.8kat 0.150Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December?
- +$4.5kat 0.033Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by January 31, 2025?
- +$4.5kat 0.138Will Ethereum hit $3,000 in December?
- +$4.2kat 0.060Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by January 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November? | BUY | 0.17 | $2.23 |
| 11-01 20:28 | Will XRP reach $1.40 in November? | BUY | 0.46 | $6.10 |
| 11-01 20:02 | Will XRP reach $1.60 in November? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.44 |
| 11-01 20:01 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in November? | BUY | 0.27 | $18.74 |
| 11-01 20:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in November? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.87 |
| 11-01 20:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November? | BUY | 0.06 | $2.44 |
| 11-01 20:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November? | BUY | 0.33 | $4.93 |
| 11-01 20:01 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in November? | BUY | 0.62 | $42.81 |
| 11-01 20:01 | Will Solana dip to $90 in November? | BUY | 0.82 | $60.79 |
| 11-01 20:01 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November? | BUY | 0.87 | $51.98 |
| 11-01 20:01 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November? | BUY | 0.43 | $25.69 |
| 11-01 20:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November? | BUY | 0.74 | $44.21 |
| 11-01 20:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in November? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.53 |
| 11-01 20:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in November? | BUY | 0.5 | $29.88 |
| 11-01 20:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November? | BUY | 0.13 | $9.54 |