fabres04
0x9447376836b753179e4715694ac8dbc6f50748d6
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $375.8k
- Markets traded
- 3,629
- Open portfolio
- $3.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,629
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.46at 0.076Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on September 7?
- +$67.89at 0.203Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$53.35at 0.015Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 3?
- +$42.86at 0.017Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 23?
- +$39.38at 0.012Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 02:50 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.26 |
| 11-01 22:29 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.92 |
| 11-01 22:24 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 3? | SELL | 0.28 | $4.59 |
| 11-01 20:50 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 6°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.53 |
| 11-01 19:52 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 3? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.95 |
| 11-01 19:12 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on November 3? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.57 |
| 11-01 15:50 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.32 |
| 11-01 13:58 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.018 | $7.33 |
| 11-01 11:20 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.24 | $13.37 |
| 11-01 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.35 |
| 11-01 09:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.016 | $0.12 |
| 11-01 08:19 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on November 3? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 11-01 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.65 |
| 11-01 04:28 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on November 2? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.35 |
| 11-01 02:50 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.01 |