PolyBot

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Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on October 2?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-02
Resolves by
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.025. down 0.325 over the period, from 0.350. Range 0.025 to 0.350. 28 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.03077
0.042815
0.188135150
0.18920170
0.267100270
0.26820290
0.27049339
0.38920359
0.51920379
0.668400779
0.66920799
0.9182401,039

Spread0.010Mid0.025

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0201212
0.0101022
0.0051032
0.002139171
0.001220392

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9801212
0.9901022
0.9951032
0.998139171
0.999220392

Spread0.010Mid0.975

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.97077
0.958815
0.812135150
0.81120170
0.733100270
0.73220290
0.73049339
0.61120359
0.48120379
0.332400779
0.33120799
0.0822401,039

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
tradetosurvive1Yes71.52
plstrkxyzYes37.4
2B9SYes6.25
SincereSpine3255Yes6
ttj01Yes6
zhengxm1131Yes6
zhengxm1103Yes6
DapperBlade5204Yes6
.MentheYes5
0xa5ef…2966No50.84
0x3925…42fcNo50.52
MeteoManNo21
HarryBOBNo17.4
x235tgNo10.41

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
04:14:11BUYNo0.973$3.29
21:20:23BUYNo0.975$4.85
15:21:56BUYNo0.975$5.25
13:00:15BUYNo0.89420$17.88
12:57:02BUYNo0.8821$18.48
12:54:27BUYNo0.889$7.50
12:50:20BUYNo0.8821$18.48
12:45:23BUYNo0.904999995717$15.75
12:45:23BUYNo0.8821$18.48
11:51:20BUYNo0.9716$15.71
09:32:06BUYNo0.9995$5.00