x235tg
0x3b5c3e67c3a5d5021a5e3dce6300e5fb6ae42541
- Realised P&L
- $293.87
- Volume
- $87.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,412
- Open portfolio
- $225.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,412
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.04at 0.979Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 31?
- +$27.26at 0.810Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on May 25?
- +$27.07at 0.983Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3?
- +$21.04at 0.902Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on July 22?
- +$20.57at 0.980Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 22:12 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 08-04 22:11 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $66.72 |
| 08-04 21:00 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.97 | $9.70 |
| 08-04 20:58 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.97 | $9.70 |
| 08-04 20:55 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.98 |
| 08-04 20:55 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 08-04 20:53 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.96 |
| 08-04 20:48 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 08-04 20:46 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.93 | $1.86 |
| 08-04 20:44 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 08-04 20:41 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 08-04 20:18 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.98 |
| 08-04 20:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.51 |
| 08-04 18:56 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.16 |
| 08-04 18:35 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.88 |