MeteoMan
0xad42a6cd7cabd0657fa3e24e2fbc0b642a9ac918
- Realised P&L
- $146.21
- Volume
- $427.1k
- Markets traded
- 4,419
- Open portfolio
- $540.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,419
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$231.76at 0.354Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$170.28at 0.198Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
- +$116.36at 0.760Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
- +$48.75at 0.672Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
- +$43.48at 0.697Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 04:27 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.92 | $19.32 |
| 09-19 04:08 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.92 | $11.96 |
| 09-19 04:02 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.92 | $11.96 |
| 09-19 02:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.94 | $7.83 |
| 09-19 02:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.94 | $7.83 |
| 09-18 13:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.91 | $20.02 |
| 09-18 11:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.93 | $99.51 |
| 09-18 11:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.88 | $26.40 |
| 09-18 09:53 | Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.92 | $110.40 |
| 09-18 09:47 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.88 | $55.44 |
| 09-18 06:16 | Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9 | $88.20 |
| 09-18 05:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 09-17 23:56 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 09-17 23:36 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.98 | $19.60 |
| 09-17 21:29 | Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.99 | $19.80 |