MeteoMan
0xad42a6cd7cabd0657fa3e24e2fbc0b642a9ac918
- Realised P&L
- $81.04
- Volume
- $308.1k
- Markets traded
- 3,640
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,640
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$231.76at 0.354Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$171.24at 0.197Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
- +$116.36at 0.760Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
- +$50.63at 0.664Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
- +$45.15at 0.689Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 19:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.97 | $1.22 |
| 08-04 19:26 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.94 | $53.58 |
| 08-04 19:22 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.89 |
| 08-04 19:19 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.99 | $15.65 |
| 08-04 18:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-04 16:21 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.98 | $0.24 |
| 08-04 16:20 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $0.61 |
| 08-04 16:04 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on August 5? | SELL | 0.892179925 | $107.11 |
| 08-04 15:56 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.99 | $49.89 |
| 08-04 15:52 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.9070846678 | $108.90 |
| 08-04 15:49 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 5? | SELL | 0.6225641026 | $24.28 |
| 08-04 15:10 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.77 | $0.31 |
| 08-04 14:51 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.89 | $28.48 |
| 08-04 14:45 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.94 | $31.02 |
| 08-04 14:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 75°F or below on August 5? | BUY | 0.9116323589 | $82.80 |