PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3925c4477052d34dc440068286ae693b728242fc

0x3925c4477052d34dc440068286ae693b728242fc

Realised P&L
$891.37
Volume
$26.4k
Markets traded
882
Open portfolio
$157.51

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded882
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 26? · No0.8800.880$46.85+$0.00
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 25? · No0.8120.545$31.45−$15.40
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on September 26? · No0.6800.955$19.10+$5.50
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 84°F or higher on September 26? · No0.7800.900$18.00+$2.40
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 27? · No0.8300.855$17.10+$0.50
Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on September 25? · No0.4460.615$16.06+$4.40
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 26? · No0.9000.895$8.95−$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 24? · No0.8700.000$0.00−$14.11
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 8? · No0.8800.000$0.00−$17.60
Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 15°C or below on September 14? · No0.8800.000$0.00−$36.48
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on August 14? · No0.8430.000$0.00−$24.72
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on September 15? · No0.7410.000$0.00−$34.72
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C or higher on May 22? · No0.8700.000$0.00−$9.57
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 2? · No0.8600.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the lowest temperature in Manila be 27°C on September 13? · No0.8800.000$0.00−$34.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 08:34Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 27?BUY0.83$16.60
09-25 06:03Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on September 25?BUY0.4463768671$11.65
09-25 03:22Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 25?BUY0.8$4.48
09-25 01:56Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 26?BUY0.9$9.00
09-25 01:55Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 84°F or higher on September 26?BUY0.78$15.60
09-25 00:38Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 25?BUY0.82$9.11
09-24 22:36Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 25?BUY0.81$17.01
09-24 22:12Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 25?BUY0.82$12.30
09-24 22:11Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 25?BUY0.79$3.95
09-24 16:34Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 26?BUY0.8799999964$9.89
09-24 16:30Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 26?BUY0.88$18.48
09-24 16:26Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 26?BUY0.88$18.48
09-24 12:33Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on September 24?SELL0.999$53.35
09-24 12:13Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on September 24?SELL0.999$50.26
09-24 12:10Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on September 24?SELL0.999$53.45