Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-10-19
Resolves by: https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c
Rewards: 20 min size · 8.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.35. up 0.10 over the period, from 0.26. Range 0.15 to 0.43. 39 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.37	226	226
0.38	289	515
0.39	86	601
0.40	10	611
0.41	135	745
0.42	430	1,176
0.43	100	1,276
0.44	49	1,325
0.47	34	1,359
0.48	150	1,509
0.49	60	1,569
0.59	60	1,629

Spread0.03Mid0.35

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.34	386	386
0.33	160	546
0.32	26	572
0.31	93	665
0.30	119	784
0.29	120	905
0.28	40	945
0.21	40	985
0.12	40	1,025
0.10	300	1,325
0.08	25,000	26,325
0.06	41,667	67,991

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.66	386	386
0.67	160	546
0.68	26	572
0.69	93	665
0.70	119	784
0.71	120	905
0.72	40	945
0.79	40	985
0.88	40	1,025
0.90	300	1,325
0.92	25,000	26,325
0.94	41,667	67,991

Spread0.03Mid0.65

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.63	226	226
0.62	289	515
0.61	86	601
0.60	10	611
0.59	135	745
0.58	430	1,176
0.57	100	1,276
0.56	49	1,325
0.53	34	1,359
0.52	150	1,509
0.51	60	1,569
0.41	60	1,629

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x8a2109803637C1902DF8C8baba39C1bD0dA7053e-1772993968950	Yes	72.9
Jnf17	Yes	45
etghzcer	Yes	27.6
0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F	Yes	13
lolzzzlol	Yes	12.67
AJSV	No	100.48
0xa5ef…2966	No	45.13
Polimaki	No	20
GuyFromTinder	No	5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
05:48:05	SELL	Yes	0.37	0	$0.04
05:46:41	BUY	No	0.63	5	$3.15
05:15:05	BUY	No	0.6299999726	8	$4.83
05:15:03	BUY	No	0.6299999768	7	$4.61
05:15:03	BUY	No	0.6299999782	7	$4.62
05:15:03	BUY	No	0.63	7	$4.41
23:36:58	BUY	Yes	0.29	20	$5.80
23:36:58	SELL	No	0.71	20	$14.20
23:36:54	BUY	Yes	0.29	25	$7.25
18:02:54	BUY	No	0.72	8	$5.46
11:22:03	BUY	Yes	0.3099999657	8	$2.35
11:22:03	BUY	Yes	0.3	8	$2.28
11:22:03	BUY	Yes	0.3	8	$2.28
11:22:03	BUY	Yes	0.3	20	$6.00
11:22:03	BUY	Yes	0.3	28	$8.28
11:20:00	BUY	Yes	0.2899999989	73	$21.14
04:09:55	BUY	No	0.63	20	$12.60
03:08:11	BUY	Yes	0.27	20	$5.40