0x8a2109803637C1902DF8C8baba39C1bD0dA7053e-1772993968950
0xafaa81b76de6f6c63ded1ea37b432000f07f3bb4
- Realised P&L
- $51.74
- Volume
- $655.20
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $106.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.67at 0.339Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?
- +$11.59at 0.611Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
- +$10.96at 0.321Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?
- +$5.24at 0.371Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?
- +$4.37at 0.774Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:24 | No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9259999488 | $12.00 |
| 09-15 16:19 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 15:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 06:41 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.2899999996 | $15.00 |
| 09-13 18:51 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 18:50 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7799999891 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 18:49 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | SELL | 0.9611968694 | $31.93 |
| 09-13 18:49 | Will "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m? | SELL | 0.9715014006 | $17.34 |
| 09-12 18:30 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.6699999875 | $14.97 |
| 09-12 06:24 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.7743216362 | $15.00 |
| 09-12 06:24 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | SELL | 0.998 | $16.63 |
| 09-12 06:21 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 20:13 | Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.8899999252 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 06:27 | Will "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $15.00 |
| 09-10 18:25 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.7799999891 | $10.00 |