PolyBot

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Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C or below on October 12?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-12
Resolves by
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.009. down 0.011 over the period, from 0.020. Range 0.002 to 0.020. 22 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.017111111
0.0185116
0.01967183
0.02064247
0.021177424
0.02616440
0.03015455
0.03840495
0.04020515
0.04120535
0.05052587
0.05910597

Spread0.015Mid0.010

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0022020
0.0011,2501,270

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9982020
0.9991,2501,270

Spread0.015Mid0.990

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.983111111
0.9825116
0.98167183
0.98064247
0.979177424
0.97416440
0.97015455
0.96240495
0.96020515
0.95920535
0.95052587
0.94110597

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
qfwdsd1Yes399.01
PythiaWPDYes79.99
.MentheYes50
0x496f76BD5Cf4c2819C710aE90Ed1C84B2dc6FA5D-1773782287927Yes41.98
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes13.15
neverhackmeYes10.1
TENETENETYes10
a5533Yes10
triklozoidYes5
0x6FbC9E989D169000912a6cd82E9C036469b3Fa10-1775852795607Yes3.34
0xa5ef…2966No253.46
JUNGLEANTNo168.4
renfreeNo118
wudipanzairiskerNo44.68
weatherBearNo37
weather-highest-strangleNo1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:58:57BUYNo0.99810$9.98
19:04:13BUYYes0.003423047399$1.37
19:03:30BUYNo0.9996$5.99
19:03:30BUYNo0.9996$5.99
19:03:27BUYNo0.9996$5.99
19:03:25BUYNo0.9996$5.99
19:03:24BUYNo0.9996$5.99
17:12:07BUYNo0.9989990031$1.00
15:10:09BUYNo0.9995$5.00
15:04:40BUYNo0.998434540$39.94
14:00:33BUYNo0.9985$4.99
13:58:04SELLYes0.0021$0.00
13:37:19BUYNo0.99799991634$3.91
13:37:19BUYNo0.9987$6.99
13:00:07BUYNo0.99810$9.98
13:00:06BUYNo0.99820$19.96
12:51:30BUYNo0.99960$59.59
12:51:28BUYNo0.99560$59.59
12:51:18BUYNo0.99520$20.00
12:49:55BUYNo0.99920$19.98
09:10:22BUYNo0.99935$34.97
06:00:25SELLYes0.0015$0.01
05:54:57BUYNo0.9997$6.99