weatherBear
0x47e9c1e3a3d7aa76b22b13d5ebd46d82ddac732c
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $982.5k
- Markets traded
- 5,703
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,703
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.44at 0.988Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 54°F or higher on March 11?
- +$21.25at 0.978Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 7?
- +$18.03at 0.971Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 63°F or below on March 9?
- +$17.04at 0.982Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on March 9?
- +$16.31at 0.979Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on April 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 06:59 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C or higher on August 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $17.98 |
| 08-04 21:14 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C or higher on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $6.93 |
| 08-04 21:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-04 21:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-04 21:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-04 04:56 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.989 | $4.95 |
| 08-04 04:38 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-04 04:37 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-03 22:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.984 | $4.92 |
| 08-03 09:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $87.82 |
| 08-03 09:18 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $54.95 |
| 08-03 09:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $76.92 |
| 08-03 09:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $23.98 |
| 08-03 09:18 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $82.92 |
| 08-03 09:18 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.37 |