PolyBot

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Traders

weatherBear

0x47e9c1e3a3d7aa76b22b13d5ebd46d82ddac732c

Realised P&L
$2.3k
Volume
$1.07M
Markets traded
6,769
Open portfolio
$253.07

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,769
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on September 20? · No0.9740.963$98.00$1.16
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 21? · No0.9470.930$39.06$0.72
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 21? · No0.9810.985$28.55+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 21? · No0.9600.940$22.56$0.48
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on September 20? · No0.9000.810$19.44$2.16
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 82°F or higher on September 21? · No0.9900.997$12.14+$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on September 20? · No0.6600.695$11.10+$0.57
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on September 20? · No0.8300.755$9.06$0.90
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on September 20? · No0.9600.980$8.82+$0.18
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 20? · No0.8300.920$2.34+$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 20? · No0.9891.000$2.00+$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C or below on August 30? · No0.9590.000$0.00$106.45
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 17? · No0.9800.000$0.00$29.40
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28? · No0.8550.000$0.00$34.22
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 7? · No0.9540.000$0.00$17.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-11 06:11Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on August 12?SELL0.95$5.70
08-11 06:11Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on August 11?SELL0.992$4.96
08-11 06:11Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 12?SELL0.99$6.93
08-11 06:11Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 11?SELL0.992$20.83
08-11 06:11Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 12?SELL0.997$59.82
08-11 06:09Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 10?SELL0.999$10.59
08-11 06:09Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on August 10?SELL0.999$7.99
08-11 06:09Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 40°C on August 11?SELL0.999$23.98
08-11 06:09Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 11?SELL0.999$33.98
08-11 06:08Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C or higher on August 11?SELL0.999$30.96
08-10 09:28Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 11?SELL0.998$43.91
08-10 09:27Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 10?SELL0.999$53.95
08-10 09:27Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 10?SELL0.999$53.95
08-10 09:26Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 40°C or higher on August 10?SELL0.999$43.93
08-10 09:26Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 10?SELL0.9981229508$121.77