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Traders

weatherBear

0x47e9c1e3a3d7aa76b22b13d5ebd46d82ddac732c

Realised P&L
$2.0k
Volume
$982.5k
Markets traded
5,703
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,703
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration6.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on August 5? · No0.9880.997$152.46+$1.25
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on August 5? · No0.9901.000$93.95+$0.89
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C or higher on August 6? · No0.9770.948$93.79$2.96
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 6? · No0.9450.975$88.68+$2.69
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on August 7? · No0.9750.956$78.84$1.53
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 5? · No0.9900.996$76.69+$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 6? · No0.9800.993$67.86+$0.89
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 7? · No0.9110.875$64.67$2.64
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on August 7? · No0.9590.975$46.80+$0.78
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 6? · No0.9700.875$42.88$4.64
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or below on August 5? · No0.9901.000$37.93+$0.37
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C on August 7? · No0.9800.990$23.76+$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 6? · No0.9800.986$23.66+$0.14
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on August 6? · No0.9800.985$23.64+$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on August 7? · No0.9600.960$23.04+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 06:59Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C or higher on August 5?SELL0.999$17.98
08-04 21:14Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C or higher on August 5?BUY0.99$6.93
08-04 21:10Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 5?BUY0.99$4.95
08-04 21:09Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 5?BUY0.99$4.95
08-04 21:08Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 5?BUY0.99$4.95
08-04 04:56Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 4?BUY0.989$4.95
08-04 04:38Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 4?BUY0.99$4.95
08-04 04:37Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 4?BUY0.99$4.95
08-03 22:15Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 4?BUY0.984$4.92
08-03 09:18Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 3?SELL0.999$87.82
08-03 09:18Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on August 3?SELL0.999$54.95
08-03 09:18Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 3?SELL0.999$76.92
08-03 09:18Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on August 3?SELL0.999$23.98
08-03 09:18Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 3?SELL0.999$82.92
08-03 09:18Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on August 3?SELL0.999$6.37