PolyBot

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Traders

renfree

0x7b47cc99fa4d478de0c26489a6771aaf7fa9902d

Realised P&L
$-67.94
Volume
$653.3k
Markets traded
8,294
Open portfolio
$2.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded8,294
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration86.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 11? · No0.9980.995$1.0k−$3.55
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C or below on October 12? · No0.9980.991$116.88−$0.91
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on October 11? · No0.9970.997$113.66−$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C or higher on October 11? · No0.9980.995$111.44−$0.34
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 12? · No0.9980.995$111.44−$0.34
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on October 11? · No0.9970.996$107.57−$0.11
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 11? · No0.9980.994$84.78−$0.36
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C or below on October 11? · No0.9991.000$77.96+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C or higher on October 11? · No0.9990.999$65.90−$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 12? · No0.9980.995$47.74−$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on October 11? · No0.9980.999$46.95+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 9? · No0.9971.000$44.98+$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on October 11? · No0.9990.997$41.85−$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 11? · No0.9981.000$39.98+$0.06
Will Bitcoin dominance be less than 58.00% on October 16? · No0.9840.601$26.22−$16.76

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 19:11Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 11?BUY0.997$11.96
10-10 19:11Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 11?BUY0.998$7.98
10-10 19:11Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 11?BUY0.998$7.98
10-10 19:11Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 11?BUY0.998$7.98
10-10 19:11Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 11?BUY0.998$7.98
10-10 19:11Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 11?BUY0.998$7.98
10-10 19:11Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on October 11?BUY0.997$11.96
10-10 19:10Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on October 11?BUY0.997$11.96
10-10 19:10Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on October 11?BUY0.997$7.98
10-10 19:10Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on October 11?BUY0.997$7.98
10-10 19:10Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on October 11?BUY0.998$7.98
10-10 19:10Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on October 11?BUY0.998$5.99
10-10 19:10Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on October 11?BUY0.997$11.96
10-10 19:08Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 11?BUY0.999$5.99
10-10 19:08Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on October 11?BUY0.999$5.99