PolyBot

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Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 25?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-25
Resolves by
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
Rewards
100 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.18. up 0.05 over the period, from 0.13. Range 0.10 to 0.36. 52 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1988
0.20715
0.21520
0.271030
0.28535
0.291045
0.343075
0.3530105
0.375110
0.4042152
0.445157
0.4826183

Spread0.02Mid0.18

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.179595
0.169104
0.1515119
0.1421140
0.1341181
0.12118299
0.08274573
0.07100673
0.0630703
0.055301,233
0.04651,298
0.032361,534

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.839595
0.849104
0.8515119
0.8621140
0.8741181
0.88118299
0.92274573
0.93100673
0.9430703
0.955301,233
0.96651,298
0.972361,534

Spread0.02Mid0.82

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8188
0.80715
0.79520
0.731030
0.72535
0.711045
0.663075
0.6530105
0.635110
0.6042152
0.565157
0.5226183

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
WrongBy1DegreeYes583.25
VicenteferrandezzYes543.25
trillouxYes482.55
OnlyLuckNoBrainYes408.32
huskyvsYes280.76
BilberryYes144.39
PintouOClimaYes120
0x496f76BD5Cf4c2819C710aE90Ed1C84B2dc6FA5D-1773782287927Yes109.84
rocky42002Yes96.55
neverhackmeYes82.17
0x436EcB33E3218a8159bE68c5c35fea40407e1ECf-1772101185869Yes73.68
cpoykingYes70
Guessingkbn-wxYes70
Dusted-TerritoryYes59.98
luizrealYes55.2
0x5Bc9A1d1ca6eD6D5D6A831A184b58A8E2078b2Ee-1770820727981Yes48.63
mr.NobodyNowhereYes41.84
somlYes39.99
WeatherPeen69Yes38
0x375BC2941309C5c1E4a13D6233CFB53Fa33A44bc-1776132665979Yes36.36

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
08:03:53BUYNo0.833$2.27
08:03:39BUYNo0.832$1.88
06:58:36BUYNo0.83508737865$4.30
06:56:35BUYNo0.833$2.38
06:56:35BUYNo0.833$2.32
06:49:18BUYYes0.25$1.02
06:37:47BUYYes0.195$0.95
06:30:32BUYNo0.829999998120$100.00
06:25:59BUYNo0.760$0.02
06:25:00BUYNo0.765$3.80
06:24:59BUYNo0.767$5.43
06:24:59BUYNo0.767$5.40
06:22:03BUYNo0.74065764025$3.83
06:06:12BUYYes0.279999997818$5.00
06:03:15BUYYes0.2620$5.20
05:59:06BUYNo0.765$3.80
05:43:08BUYYes0.25100$25.00
05:43:08BUYNo0.75999997422$1.18
05:42:56BUYYes0.2336740458131$30.61
05:30:41BUYYes0.22999995174$1.00
05:30:41BUYYes0.22999997877$1.51
05:30:39SELLYes0.2229$6.32
05:14:14SELLYes0.226$1.21
05:13:41BUYNo0.785$3.93
05:13:21BUYNo0.786$4.37