mr.NobodyNowhere
0xb00323ee0481a014d790c796f6f42316561297e1
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $247.5k
- Markets traded
- 2,163
- Open portfolio
- $323.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,163
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration37.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.039Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
- +$456.20at 0.238Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
- +$446.36at 0.400Will Lauri Saaskilahti Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?
- +$386.62at 0.679Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
- +$351.59at 0.334Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 22:16 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.3762376148 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 22:15 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.5148514566 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 21:37 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 10:15 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 10:15 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 08:11 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.0618374557 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 18? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 08:09 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 06:46 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 04:43 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.339999985 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 04:43 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 04:42 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 04:41 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 04:41 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.5802175073 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 03:11 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $5.00 |