PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mr.NobodyNowhere

0xb00323ee0481a014d790c796f6f42316561297e1

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$247.5k
Markets traded
2,163
Open portfolio
$323.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,163
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration37.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6470.505$88.19$24.81
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1850.065$37.23$68.70
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 17? · Yes0.2901.000$17.23+$12.23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17? · Yes0.3841.000$13.02+$8.02
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 17? · Yes0.4260.995$11.69+$6.69
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 18? · Yes0.2700.490$9.07+$4.07
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 18? · Yes0.1400.215$7.68+$2.68
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 18? · Yes0.4040.555$6.87+$1.87
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 18? · Yes0.5100.650$6.37+$1.37
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 18? · Yes0.4100.505$6.16+$1.16
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 18? · Yes0.5000.615$6.15+$1.15
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 18? · Yes0.4600.555$6.03+$1.03
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 18? · Yes0.5400.645$5.97+$0.97
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 18? · Yes0.5800.685$5.91+$0.91
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 18? · Yes0.3200.355$5.55+$0.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 22:16Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 19?BUY0.3762376148$5.00
09-17 22:15Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 19?BUY0.5148514566$5.00
09-17 21:37Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 19?BUY0.449999964$5.00
09-17 10:15Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 18?BUY0.4199999966$5.00
09-17 10:15Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 18?BUY0.4$5.00
09-17 08:11Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 18?BUY0.0618374557$5.00
09-17 08:10Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 18?BUY0.269999993$5.00
09-17 08:09Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 18?BUY0.4099999984$5.00
09-17 06:46Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 18?BUY0.4199999966$5.00
09-17 04:43Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 17?BUY0.339999985$5.00
09-17 04:43Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 18?BUY0.32$5.00
09-17 04:42Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 18?BUY0.5399999568$5.00
09-17 04:41Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 18?BUY0.649999974$5.00
09-17 04:41Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 18?BUY0.5802175073$5.00
09-17 03:11Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on September 17?BUY0.2099999983$5.00