Dusted-Territory
0x5aad6df1c0c544ec30b351922ef9871e1dcadc28
- Realised P&L
- $2.4k
- Volume
- $136.9k
- Markets traded
- 2,386
- Open portfolio
- $99.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,386
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$207.16at 0.262Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on April 20?
- +$203.94at 0.077Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on April 28?
- +$195.50at 0.022Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C on March 27?
- +$165.15at 0.120Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 31?
- +$152.72at 0.177Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on March 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:15 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.20 |
| 08-04 16:06 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.55 | $27.50 |
| 08-04 15:59 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.296036228 | $11.11 |
| 08-04 15:59 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.39 | $3.69 |
| 08-04 14:24 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.21 | $10.50 |
| 08-04 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.11 | $24.06 |
| 08-04 13:36 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.19 | $7.60 |
| 08-04 13:36 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.37 | $2.59 |
| 08-04 11:51 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.17 | $12.02 |
| 08-04 11:37 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 08-04 11:37 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 08-04 11:30 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 08-04 11:30 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.19 | $0.95 |
| 08-04 07:48 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.10 |
| 08-04 07:31 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.47 | $18.64 |