PolyBot

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Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on September 20?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-20
Resolves by
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.003. up 0.001 over the period, from 0.002. Range 0.002 to 0.005. 23 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.005120120
0.00920140
0.01920160
0.02010170
0.02920190
0.03010200
0.04042242
0.05010252
0.06010262
0.07010272
0.09540312
0.09630342

SpreadMid

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

SpreadMid

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.995120120
0.99120140
0.98120160
0.98010170
0.97120190
0.97010200
0.96042242
0.95010252
0.94010262
0.93010272
0.90540312
0.90430342

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
PythiaWPDYes160
0X496f76bd5cf4c2819c710ae90ed1c84b2dc6fa5dYes79.99
balthazarYes66.44
midturn.rektYes40
0x496f76BD5Cf4c2819C710aE90Ed1C84B2dc6FA5D-1773782287927Yes32.1
sonofweather67Yes10
TENETENETYes10
graynotebook19Yes7.83
0x16c7337106A0B3a06fF863A1c06D8e2cbf7322cd-1778811943243Yes5
triklozoidYes5
nothing-to-loseYes1
0xa5ef…2966No361.25
ffforever2999No44.8
simonionNo11.27

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
00:11:15BUYNo0.9992$2.17
23:54:48BUYNo0.99917$16.98
23:22:15BUYNo0.99910$9.99
23:22:15BUYNo0.99930$29.97
23:07:00BUYNo0.99916$15.99
23:07:00BUYNo0.99926$26.09
23:06:55BUYNo0.99827$26.96
23:06:55BUYNo0.99799991289$8.79
23:06:55BUYNo0.99830$29.94
23:06:55BUYNo0.99810$9.98
23:06:43BUYNo0.99799942321$1.09
22:52:45BUYNo0.99827$26.95
19:22:43BUYNo0.997999982145$44.71
15:30:10BUYNo0.997999919511$11.25
13:23:42BUYNo0.995160$159.20
12:47:20BUYNo0.9994$3.70