PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nothing-to-lose

0xd097cf9d3cfe549eb1425b0467cc2d72da0960b0

Realised P&L
$-83.02
Volume
$13.4k
Markets traded
1,087
Open portfolio
$124.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,087
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 27? · Yes0.0910.545$10.90+$9.08
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 27? · Yes0.0910.505$10.10+$8.28
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 27? · Yes0.0910.465$9.30+$7.48
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 28? · Yes0.0910.425$8.50+$6.68
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 28? · Yes0.0910.395$7.90+$6.08
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 28? · Yes0.0910.385$7.70+$5.88
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 28? · Yes0.0910.345$6.90+$5.08
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 27? · Yes0.0910.305$6.10+$4.28
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 27? · Yes0.0910.300$6.00+$4.18
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 28? · Yes0.0910.270$5.40+$3.58
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 27? · Yes0.0910.255$5.10+$3.28
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 28? · Yes0.0910.235$4.70+$2.88
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 28? · Yes0.0910.230$4.60+$2.78
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28? · Yes0.0910.225$4.50+$2.68
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 27? · Yes0.0910.195$3.90+$2.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 03:15Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 26?SELL0.001$0.02
09-26 03:01Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on September 26?SELL0.010697$0.21
09-26 03:01Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or higher on September 26?SELL0.003$0.06
09-26 03:01Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 26?SELL0.05$1.00
09-25 18:55Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 26?SELL0.26$0.95
09-25 18:53Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 26?SELL0.26$4.25
09-25 03:01Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 25?SELL0.012885$0.26
09-25 03:01Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on September 25?SELL0.002$0.04
09-25 03:01Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or higher on September 25?SELL0.001$0.02
09-25 03:01Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 25?SELL0.001$0.02
09-24 03:01Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 24?SELL0.001$0.01
09-24 03:01Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 24?SELL0.02$0.20
09-24 03:01Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 24?SELL0.03$0.30
09-24 03:01Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 24?SELL0.003$0.03
09-24 03:01Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 24?SELL0.001$0.01