nothing-to-lose
0xd097cf9d3cfe549eb1425b0467cc2d72da0960b0
- Realised P&L
- $-83.02
- Volume
- $13.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,087
- Open portfolio
- $124.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,087
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.72at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 22?
- +$35.01at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 21?
- +$25.99at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 20?
- +$23.46at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?
- +$22.46at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 03:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 09-26 03:01 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on September 26? | SELL | 0.010697 | $0.21 |
| 09-26 03:01 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or higher on September 26? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.06 |
| 09-26 03:01 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 18:55 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.26 | $0.95 |
| 09-25 18:53 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.26 | $4.25 |
| 09-25 03:01 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.012885 | $0.26 |
| 09-25 03:01 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on September 25? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 09-25 03:01 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or higher on September 25? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 09-25 03:01 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 09-24 03:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-24 03:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.20 |
| 09-24 03:01 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.30 |
| 09-24 03:01 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 24? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.03 |
| 09-24 03:01 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |