0x16c7337106A0B3a06fF863A1c06D8e2cbf7322cd-1778811943243
0x16c7337106a0b3a06ff863a1c06d8e2cbf7322cd
- Realised P&L
- $-40.2k
- Volume
- $2.49M
- Markets traded
- 41,385
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded41,385
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.0kat 0.074Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?
- +$5.4kat 0.004Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$4.9kat 0.099Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$3.3kat 0.023Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
- +$3.0kat 0.026Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 03:21 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.61 | $3.10 |
| 09-19 03:20 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.884 | $1.46 |
| 09-19 03:20 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.94 | $21.03 |
| 09-19 03:16 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.11 |
| 09-19 03:12 | Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.57 | $7.98 |
| 09-19 03:11 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on September 19? | BUY | 0.023 | $0.06 |
| 09-19 03:11 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.98 | $41.79 |
| 09-19 03:11 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.89 |
| 09-19 03:10 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.7501283317 | $7.60 |
| 09-19 03:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.93 | $8.39 |
| 09-19 03:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.91 | $18.20 |
| 09-19 03:03 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.9798965517 | $28.42 |
| 09-19 03:02 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.96 | $6.38 |
| 09-19 03:02 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.97 | $8.81 |
| 09-19 03:02 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.16 |