PolyBot

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Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in October 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-01
Resolves by
https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.028. down 0.004 over the period, from 0.032. Range 0.021 to 0.037. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0343030
0.0353565
0.039570
0.0401484
0.04420104
0.04820124
0.05019143
0.100211354
0.1396360
0.1468368
0.14910378
0.150206584

Spread0.012Mid0.028

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0226767
0.021443510
0.0201,0001,510
0.00371,517
0.0023101,827
0.001491,876

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9786767
0.979443510
0.9801,0001,510
0.99771,517
0.9983101,827
0.999491,876

Spread0.012Mid0.972

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9663030
0.9653565
0.961570
0.9601484
0.95620104
0.95220124
0.95019143
0.900211354
0.8616360
0.8548368
0.85110378
0.850206584

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
sange111Yes1,245.42
hetaczYes575
youtube-traderYes306.78
ViscaElBarcaYes180.2
BenjiPredictsYes152
BitgodYes148
mcsgYes50
justwant5Yes40
0xA77510249d68d437b6Ae66FcEF763650f9aD334e-1762604978907Yes34
PPMTYes30
UgiiYes29.99
FluoYes20
83afafYes19.8
Mojito9Yes18.9
donthackmeYes8.87
OsvaldoMarianao27Yes5
0xa5ef…2966No2,290.33
ghorrockNo564.99
wert4No5.01
0x63ADda169cA8F3311b361E3E7dc1a98FA882C072-1774822849424No3.6

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
00:19:16BUYYes0.024508357910$0.25
23:17:31BUYYes0.0267$0.18
16:01:12BUYYes0.02250$1.10
11:39:24BUYYes0.023498513410$0.24
09:50:34BUYYes0.028501483710$0.29
10:32:27BUYYes0.027501483710$0.28
08:59:55BUYYes0.02649800810$0.27
04:17:06BUYYes0.026502982110$0.27
03:19:45BUYYes0.023583333312$0.28
00:55:49BUYYes0.025510$0.26
23:20:34BUYYes0.025498513410$0.26
13:45:00BUYYes0.02450099410$0.25
10:03:40BUYYes0.024510$0.25
08:06:00BUYNo0.9785$4.89
05:27:10BUYYes0.023500497510$0.24
03:21:16BUYNo0.9785$4.89
00:23:16BUYNo0.9785$4.89
00:23:16BUYNo0.9785$4.89
00:13:27BUYYes0.023499011910$0.24
23:14:01BUYYes0.023499752120$0.47
22:08:09BUYNo0.97812$11.74
15:20:49BUYNo0.97810$9.78
15:05:58BUYYes0.028500499510$0.29
12:39:16BUYYes0.028510$0.29
11:06:30BUYYes0.026499507410$0.27