OsvaldoMarianao27
0xf9398f90af6f0b47f0db5d7562c5fcbbd5e043e1
- Realised P&L
- $-770.84
- Volume
- $42.3k
- Markets traded
- 860
- Open portfolio
- $305.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded860
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$224.91at 0.264Will Bury Town FC vs. Workington AFC end in a draw?
- +$192.82at 0.310Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?
- +$53.87at 0.132Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
- +$42.14at 0.112Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C or below on September 9?
- +$39.48at 0.090Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 21:30 | Spread: China PR (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1699999995 | $50.00 |
| 09-23 19:08 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.3339727801 | $20.84 |
| 09-23 17:10 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-23? | BUY | 0.6899999908 | $15.07 |
| 09-23 17:10 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-23? | BUY | 0.7099999861 | $4.10 |
| 09-23 10:53 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.6018269778 | $10.57 |
| 09-23 10:02 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.497300216 | $27.63 |
| 09-22 20:12 | Will Real Madrid CF Femenino win on 2026-09-22? | BUY | 0.7099999775 | $16.69 |
| 09-22 20:12 | Real Madrid CF Femenino vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6999999378 | $2.25 |
| 09-22 17:30 | FC Bayern München vs. Manchester City WFC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.8779891893 | $7.31 |
| 09-22 17:30 | FC Bayern München vs. Manchester City WFC: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.7199999828 | $6.68 |
| 09-22 16:52 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.58 |
| 09-22 15:18 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.2453510017 | $10.65 |
| 09-22 14:23 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.3016977061 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 14:22 | Will White House post 200+ posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.3049681213 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 14:18 | Will White House post 200+ posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.3145704511 | $200.00 |