PolyBot

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Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in October 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-01
Resolves by
https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.003. down 0.002 over the period, from 0.004. Range 0.003 to 0.006. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0035656
0.0041066
0.0051783
0.006386
0.01220106
0.01820126
0.0203128
0.030172301
0.040100401
0.050100501
0.083320820
0.08585905

Spread0.001Mid0.003

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0021,0491,049
0.0013,6544,704

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9981,0491,049
0.9993,6544,704

Spread0.001Mid0.998

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9975656
0.9961066
0.9951783
0.994386
0.98820106
0.98220126
0.9803128
0.970172301
0.960100401
0.950100501
0.917320820
0.91585905

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
mcsgYes493.14
83afafYes396.98
sange111Yes359.1
youtube-traderYes306.78
0x7C5478e50b39eBc3e4C668C40845190E49642D86-1758263674561Yes276.5
BitgodYes220
coolibinYes135.71
a5533Yes48.16
justwant5Yes40
hetaczYes22.5
Mojito9Yes20
donthackmeYes8.87
LucerysYes7.72
sanduspaceYes6
0xa5ef…2966No2,290.33
ghorrockNo21.53
vamnizarNo20
wert4No4.97
0x63ADda169cA8F3311b361E3E7dc1a98FA882C072-1774822849424No3.6
TAOCOPYNo1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
08:06:00BUYNo0.9985$4.99
03:21:16BUYNo0.9985$4.99
00:23:16BUYNo0.9985$4.99
00:23:16BUYNo0.9985$4.99
22:08:09BUYNo0.99812$11.98
16:01:16BUYYes0.006169$1.01
15:20:49BUYNo0.99810$9.98
10:57:00BUYNo0.9985$4.99
08:01:18BUYNo0.9981$1.00
07:57:12BUYNo0.99810$9.98
07:57:10BUYNo0.99820$20.36
07:57:09BUYNo0.99820$19.56
07:57:06BUYNo0.99810$9.98
07:57:06BUYNo0.99830$29.94
07:57:06BUYNo0.99810$9.98
07:53:31BUYNo0.99812$11.98
06:58:58BUYNo0.9985$4.99
06:58:58BUYNo0.99812$12.47
23:44:04BUYNo0.99715$14.96
23:44:04BUYNo0.99713$13.11
16:19:45BUYNo0.99757$56.73
16:01:16BUYYes0.008132$1.06
02:36:55BUYNo0.9985$4.99
14:04:03BUYNo0.9985$4.99
14:04:03BUYNo0.99810$9.98